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Uerdingen vs SSVg Velbert - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Sun, Jan 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uerdingen host SSVg Velbert in the Club Friendly. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. SSVg Velbert have shipped 1.96 goals a game lately, while Uerdingen have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.87. Past meetings favor Uerdingen slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 2, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.81, favoring Uerdingen. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Uerdingen
15%
Draws
54%
SSVg Velbert
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SSVg Velbert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Uerdingen have won more games recently than SSVg Velbert.
  • Win probability leans SSVg Velbert's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Uerdingen Clean Sheet 11%
SSVg Velbert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uerdingen SSVg Velbert
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 12
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.87 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
Uerdingen vs SSVg Velbert
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Uerdingen vs SSVg Velbert
0:0
Mar 26, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
SSVg Velbert vs Uerdingen
0:1
Sep 24, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
Uerdingen vs SSVg Velbert
3:1
Jul 15, 2017 Club Friendly
SSVg Velbert vs Uerdingen
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uerdingen 27 / 100
SSVg Velbert 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uerdingen SSVg Velbert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SSVg Velbert Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uerdingen scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

SSVg Velbert's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Uerdingen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uerdingen VS SSVg Velbert
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Uerdingen

(Home)
02 Oct
Uerdingen
1 : 2
SSVg Velbert
26 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 3
Uerdingen
19 Sept
Uerdingen
0 : 1
Sonsbeck
13 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 1
Uerdingen
09 Sept
Uerdingen
2 : 1
Dusseldorf II
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SSVg Velbert

(Away)
02 Oct
Uerdingen
1 : 2
SSVg Velbert
27 Sept
SSVg Velbert
5 : 1
Dingden
20 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 3
SSVg Velbert
12 Sept
SSVg Velbert
2 : 1
Buderich
06 Sept
Sonsbeck
4 : 2
SSVg Velbert
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