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UES vs Aguila - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Peinado D.
69'
Calderon K.
69'
Calderon K.

AI Match Summary

Aguila in this Primera Division 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
UES
15%
Draws
49%
Aguila
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Aguila have won more games recently than UES.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aguila have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
UES Clean Sheet 20%
Aguila Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UES Aguila
Matches Played 30 46
Wins 6 27
Draws 9 11
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.02
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2017 Primera Division
Aguila vs UES
3:2
Feb 16, 2017 Primera Division
UES vs Aguila
0:1
Nov 6, 2016 Primera Division
Aguila vs UES
5:1
Sep 9, 2016 Primera Division
UES vs Aguila
0:1
Mar 30, 2016 Primera Division
UES vs Aguila
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UES Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Aguila Compare

Top Goalscorer Peinado D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UES 32 / 100
Aguila 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UES Aguila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: UES scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Aguila let in goals in 70% of their last 46 matches.

UES has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aguila
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UES

(Home)
30 Apr
UES
1 : 0
Pasaquina
22 Apr
UES
2 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
20 Apr
Alianza FC
2 : 0
UES
13 Apr
Aguila
3 : 2
UES
09 Apr
UES
1 : 0
CD Sonsonate
Page 1 of 6

Aguila

(Away)
03 Oct
Aguila
4 : 1
Cacahuatique
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1
Inter Santa Tecla
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
20 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 1
Aguila
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 5 4 38:21 44
2 Aguila 22 9 10 3 25:14 37
3 Santa Tecla 22 9 7 6 36:27 34
4 Metapan 22 9 7 6 28:21 34
5 Luis Angel Firpo 22 8 7 7 34:36 31
6 FAS 22 7 10 5 21:23 31
7 Municipal Limeno 22 7 6 9 26:32 27
8 Pasaquina 22 6 8 8 24:23 26
9 UES 22 6 8 8 28:32 26
10 Dragon 22 7 4 11 24:30 25
11 CD Sonsonate 22 6 3 13 24:36 21
12 Chalatenango 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)