Sport Picks
UES vs Alianza FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
El Salvador
Primera Division 2016/2017 
Match Events
12'
12'
Hinestroza L.
16'
16'
Rivero L.
26'
26'
Rivera R.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera Division 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UES
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Alianza FC have won more games recently than UES.
- Win probability leans UES's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
UES Clean Sheet 20%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UES | Alianza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 46 |
| Wins | 6 | 21 |
| Draws | 9 | 14 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 20, 2017 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs UES
2:0
Feb 23, 2017 Primera Division
UES vs Alianza FC
2:2
Nov 17, 2016 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs UES
2:0
Sep 19, 2016 Primera Division
UES vs Alianza FC
1:1
Mar 11, 2016 Primera Division
UES vs Alianza FC
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UES Compare
Top Goalscorer Rivero L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alas H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Alianza FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Hinestroza L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zelaya R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UES 42 / 100
Alianza FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UES Alianza FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UES found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Alianza FC has conceded goals in 63% of their last 46 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
UES went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Alianza FC
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
UES
(Home) 30 Apr
UES
1 : 0 Pasaquina
22 Apr
UES
2 : 1 Luis Angel Firpo
20 Apr
Alianza FC
2 : 0 UES
13 Apr
Aguila
3 : 2 UES
09 Apr
UES
1 : 0 CD Sonsonate
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
UES
1 : 0 Pasaquina
22 Apr
UES
2 : 1 Luis Angel Firpo
09 Apr
UES
1 : 0 CD Sonsonate
31 Mar
UES
1 : 1 Municipal Limeno
22 Mar
UES
2 : 2 Chalatenango
Page 1 of 3
Alianza FC
(Away) 09 Oct
FAS
2 : 1 Alianza FC
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2 Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1 Platense Municipal
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1 Inca Aruba
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2 Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 10
09 Oct
FAS
2 : 1 Alianza FC
10 Sept
Motagua
3 : 0 Alianza FC
06 Sept
Aguila
2 : 2 Alianza FC
26 Aug
Platense Municipal
2 : 2 Alianza FC
23 Aug
Metapan
2 : 0 Alianza FC
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza FC | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 38:21 | 44 |
| 2 | Aguila | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 25:14 | 37 |
| 3 | Santa Tecla | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36:27 | 34 |
| 4 | Metapan | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28:21 | 34 |
| 5 | Luis Angel Firpo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 34:36 | 31 |
| 6 | FAS | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 21:23 | 31 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeno | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:32 | 27 |
| 8 | Pasaquina | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 24:23 | 26 |
| 9 | UES | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 28:32 | 26 |
| 10 | Dragon | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 24:30 | 25 |
| 11 | CD Sonsonate | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 24:36 | 21 |
| 12 | Chalatenango | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 26:39 | 20 |
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
