Sport Picks
UES vs Chalatenango - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
El Salvador
Primera Division 2016/2017 
Match Events
12'
12'
Gil Mosquera C.
29'
29'
Sanchez E.
44'
44'
Rodriguez O.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Division 2016/2017 game between UES and Chalatenango finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UES
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chalatenango carry the better recent record into this one.
- 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Primera Division 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
UES Clean Sheet 20%
Chalatenango Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UES | Chalatenango |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.85 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2017 Primera Division
UES vs Chalatenango
2:2
Jan 26, 2017 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs UES
1:1
Oct 12, 2016 Primera Division
UES vs Chalatenango
3:3
Aug 11, 2016 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs UES
2:2
May 1, 2016 Primera Division
UES vs Chalatenango
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UES Compare
Top Goalscorer Gil Mosquera C.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93
Chalatenango Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Reyes W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UES 31 / 100
Chalatenango 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UES Chalatenango
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Chalatenango conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
UES's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Solid form: UES remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Chalatenango
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
UES
(Home) 30 Apr
UES
1 : 0 Pasaquina
22 Apr
UES
2 : 1 Luis Angel Firpo
20 Apr
Alianza FC
2 : 0 UES
13 Apr
Aguila
3 : 2 UES
09 Apr
UES
1 : 0 CD Sonsonate
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
UES
1 : 0 Pasaquina
22 Apr
UES
2 : 1 Luis Angel Firpo
09 Apr
UES
1 : 0 CD Sonsonate
31 Mar
UES
1 : 1 Municipal Limeno
22 Mar
UES
2 : 2 Chalatenango
Page 1 of 3
Chalatenango
(Away) 13 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2 Chalatenango
07 May
Chalatenango
1 : 2 Jocoro
30 Apr
Chalatenango
0 : 0 Platense Municipal
26 Apr
Aguila
2 : 1 Chalatenango
23 Apr
Chalatenango
2 : 3 11 Deportivo
Page 1 of 7
13 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2 Chalatenango
26 Apr
Aguila
2 : 1 Chalatenango
20 Apr
Alianza FC
0 : 1 Chalatenango
02 Apr
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 1 Chalatenango
30 Mar
Santa Tecla
2 : 3 Chalatenango
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza FC | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 38:21 | 44 |
| 2 | Aguila | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 25:14 | 37 |
| 3 | Santa Tecla | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36:27 | 34 |
| 4 | Metapan | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28:21 | 34 |
| 5 | Luis Angel Firpo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 34:36 | 31 |
| 6 | FAS | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 21:23 | 31 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeno | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:32 | 27 |
| 8 | Pasaquina | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 24:23 | 26 |
| 9 | UES | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 28:32 | 26 |
| 10 | Dragon | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 24:30 | 25 |
| 11 | CD Sonsonate | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 24:36 | 21 |
| 12 | Chalatenango | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 26:39 | 20 |
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
