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Stadium Background

UES vs Dragon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Alas H.
41' Event
Alas H.
55' Event
Osorio B.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

UES in this Primera Division 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored UES.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
UES
15%
Draws
26%
Dragon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Dragon have won more games recently than UES.
  • Win probability leans UES's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
UES Clean Sheet 68%
Dragon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UES Dragon
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 6 11
Draws 9 4
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.17 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2017 Primera Division
Dragon vs UES
2:0
Jan 30, 2017 Primera Division
UES vs Dragon
3:2
Oct 15, 2016 Primera Division
Dragon vs UES
1:2
Aug 15, 2016 Primera Division
UES vs Dragon
2:2
Apr 23, 2016 Primera Division
Dragon vs UES
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UES Compare

Top Goalscorer Alas H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Dragon Compare

Top Goalscorer Polio J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UES 95 / 100
Dragon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UES Dragon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

UES scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Dragon let in goals in 79% of their last 38 matches.

UES has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dragon
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UES

(Home)
30 Apr
UES
1 : 0
Pasaquina
22 Apr
UES
2 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
20 Apr
Alianza FC
2 : 0
UES
13 Apr
Aguila
3 : 2
UES
09 Apr
UES
1 : 0
CD Sonsonate
Page 1 of 6

Dragon

(Away)
22 Apr
FAS
4 : 1
Dragon
07 Apr
Dragon
1 : 5
FAS
11 Mar
Dragon
3 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
26 Feb
Racing de Gualuca
0 : 1
Dragon
11 Feb
Dragon
1 : 4
Aguila
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 5 4 38:21 44
2 Aguila 22 9 10 3 25:14 37
3 Santa Tecla 22 9 7 6 36:27 34
4 Metapan 22 9 7 6 28:21 34
5 Luis Angel Firpo 22 8 7 7 34:36 31
6 FAS 22 7 10 5 21:23 31
7 Municipal Limeno 22 7 6 9 26:32 27
8 Pasaquina 22 6 8 8 24:23 26
9 UES 22 6 8 8 28:32 26
10 Dragon 22 7 4 11 24:30 25
11 CD Sonsonate 22 6 3 13 24:36 21
12 Chalatenango 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)