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Stadium Background

UES vs Municipal Limeno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Rivero L.
69' Event
Melgar E.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2016/2017 game between UES and Municipal Limeno finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
UES
15%
Draws
21%
Municipal Limeno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Municipal Limeno come out ahead of UES on wins alone.
  • Model gives UES a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
UES Clean Sheet 68%
Municipal Limeno Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UES Municipal Limeno
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 6 19
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2017 Primera Division
UES vs Municipal Limeno
1:1
Feb 5, 2017 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs UES
0:3
Oct 24, 2016 Primera Division
UES vs Municipal Limeno
2:4
Aug 21, 2016 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs UES
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UES Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivero L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Municipal Limeno Compare

Top Goalscorer Melgar E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UES 68 / 100
Municipal Limeno 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UES Municipal Limeno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

UES scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Municipal Limeno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 40 matches.

Recent resilience: UES stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Municipal Limeno
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UES

(Home)
30 Apr
UES
1 : 0
Pasaquina
22 Apr
UES
2 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
20 Apr
Alianza FC
2 : 0
UES
13 Apr
Aguila
3 : 2
UES
09 Apr
UES
1 : 0
CD Sonsonate
Page 1 of 6

Municipal Limeno

(Away)
04 Oct
Platense Municipal
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
02 Oct
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
27 Sept
Municipal Limeno
1 : 3
FAS
20 Sept
Alianza FC
3 : 2
Municipal Limeno
13 Sept
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 2
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 5 4 38:21 44
2 Aguila 22 9 10 3 25:14 37
3 Santa Tecla 22 9 7 6 36:27 34
4 Metapan 22 9 7 6 28:21 34
5 Luis Angel Firpo 22 8 7 7 34:36 31
6 FAS 22 7 10 5 21:23 31
7 Municipal Limeno 22 7 6 9 26:32 27
8 Pasaquina 22 6 8 8 24:23 26
9 UES 22 6 8 8 28:32 26
10 Dragon 22 7 4 11 24:30 25
11 CD Sonsonate 22 6 3 13 24:36 21
12 Chalatenango 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)