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UES vs Pasaquina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Luna Melgar D. V.
62'
Rubio Zetino O. R.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2016/2017 game between UES and Pasaquina finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UES.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
UES
15%
Draws
21%
Pasaquina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • UES haven't matched Pasaquina's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on UES taking it.
  • Regular Primera Division 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
UES Clean Sheet 68%
Pasaquina Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UES Pasaquina
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2017 Primera Division
UES vs Pasaquina
1:0
Mar 4, 2017 Primera Division
Pasaquina vs UES
2:0
Nov 26, 2016 Primera Division
Pasaquina vs UES
0:0
Sep 26, 2016 Primera Division
UES vs Pasaquina
3:5
Mar 18, 2016 Primera Division
UES vs Pasaquina
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UES Compare

Top Goalscorer Luna Melgar D. V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Pasaquina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UES 95 / 100
Pasaquina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UES Pasaquina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

UES scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Pasaquina conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Solid form: UES remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pasaquina
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UES

(Home)
30 Apr
UES
1 : 0
Pasaquina
22 Apr
UES
2 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
20 Apr
Alianza FC
2 : 0
UES
13 Apr
Aguila
3 : 2
UES
09 Apr
UES
1 : 0
CD Sonsonate
Page 1 of 6

Pasaquina

(Away)
12 May
Alianza FC
2 : 0
Pasaquina
10 May
Pasaquina
0 : 3
Alianza FC
05 May
Audaz
2 : 3
Pasaquina
27 Apr
Pasaquina
0 : 2
Aguila
24 Apr
FAS
1 : 0
Pasaquina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 5 4 38:21 44
2 Aguila 22 9 10 3 25:14 37
3 Santa Tecla 22 9 7 6 36:27 34
4 Metapan 22 9 7 6 28:21 34
5 Luis Angel Firpo 22 8 7 7 34:36 31
6 FAS 22 7 10 5 21:23 31
7 Municipal Limeno 22 7 6 9 26:32 27
8 Pasaquina 22 6 8 8 24:23 26
9 UES 22 6 8 8 28:32 26
10 Dragon 22 7 4 11 24:30 25
11 CD Sonsonate 22 6 3 13 24:36 21
12 Chalatenango 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)