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Ufa vs S. Kostroma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL BetBoom Arena, Ufa
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ufa host S. Kostroma in the FNL. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Ufa at 0.86 goals for, 0.97 against; S. Kostroma at 1.21 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Ufa have won 2 to S. Kostroma's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 17, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.76 xG vs 1.13) point toward S. Kostroma. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ufa
30%
Draws
41%
S. Kostroma
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: S. Kostroma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ufa haven't matched S. Kostroma's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ufa taking it.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ufa Clean Sheet 20%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ufa S. Kostroma
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Ufa
1:1
May 16, 2026 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Ufa
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
S. Kostroma vs Ufa
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 FNL
Ufa vs S. Kostroma
0:0
Nov 5, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
S. Kostroma vs Ufa
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ufa 36 / 100
S. Kostroma 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ufa S. Kostroma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Kostroma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Ufa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ufa's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ufa VS S. Kostroma
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ufa

(Home)
01 Nov
R. Volgograd
0 : 0
Ufa
24 Oct
Ufa
0 : 1
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Oct
Ufa
2 : 0
Arsenal Tula
11 Oct
PFC Sochi
1 : 0
Ufa
27 Sept
Ufa
0 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
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S. Kostroma

(Away)
03 Nov
S. Kostroma
2 : 3
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
30 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 1
S. Kostroma
26 Oct
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 1
S. Kostroma
17 Oct
S. Kostroma
2 : 0
Leningradets
13 Oct
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Chelyabinsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 16 14 1 1 48:15 43
2 PFC Sochi 16 10 2 4 26:17 32
3 Ural 16 9 4 3 27:11 31
4 Torpedo Moscow 16 8 5 3 28:13 29
5 S. Kostroma 16 8 4 4 22:16 28
6 Veles Moscow 17 8 4 5 21:20 28
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 16 5 8 3 20:17 23
8 Ulyanovsk 17 6 4 7 22:23 22
9 Ufa 16 5 7 4 18:15 22
10 R. Volgograd 16 5 5 6 23:18 20
11 Arsenal Tula 16 5 4 7 19:33 19
12 Chelyabinsk 16 5 3 8 21:26 18
13 Leningradets 16 4 5 7 15:26 17
14 Kamaz 16 3 5 8 20:28 14
15 Yenisey 16 3 5 8 16:33 14
16 SKA Khabarovsk 16 3 4 9 20:28 13
17 Neftekhimik 16 4 1 11 11:24 13
18 Tekstilshtik 16 2 5 9 12:26 11
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)