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Stadium Background

UFV Thalgau vs Neumarkt

Austria Austria

Salzburg
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neumarkt in this Salzburg matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neumarkt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
UFV Thalgau
15%
Draws
42%
Neumarkt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UFV Thalgau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Neumarkt have won more games recently than UFV Thalgau.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
UFV Thalgau Clean Sheet 10%
Neumarkt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UFV Thalgau Neumarkt
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.97 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.7 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Salzburg
UFV Thalgau vs Neumarkt
1:3
Apr 10, 2026 Salzburg
Neumarkt vs UFV Thalgau
4:1
Aug 29, 2025 Salzburg
UFV Thalgau vs Neumarkt
5:1
Mar 22, 2025 Salzburg
UFV Thalgau vs Neumarkt
3:2
Aug 9, 2024 Salzburg
Neumarkt vs UFV Thalgau
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UFV Thalgau 30 / 100
Neumarkt 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UFV Thalgau Neumarkt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Neumarkt conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

UFV Thalgau's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Neumarkt's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

UFV Thalgau VS Neumarkt
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

UFV Thalgau

(Home)
24 Sept
SAK 1914
2 : 0
UFV Thalgau
18 Sept
UFV Thalgau
1 : 3
Neumarkt
13 Sept
ATSV Salzburg
3 : 1
UFV Thalgau
08 Sept
Strasswalchen
5 : 0
UFV Thalgau
05 Sept
UFV Thalgau
3 : 1
USK Anif
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Neumarkt

(Away)
25 Sept
Neumarkt
3 : 4
Eugendorf
18 Sept
UFV Thalgau
1 : 3
Neumarkt
13 Sept
Neumarkt
2 : 3
SAK 1914
05 Sept
SC Golling
7 : 1
Neumarkt
30 Aug
ATSV Salzburg
1 : 0
Neumarkt
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