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Uganda Revenue vs BUL

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 Hamz Stadium, Kampala
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Okello R.
48' Event
Bunyaga B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Uganda Revenue
15%
Draws
54%
BUL
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BUL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • BUL have won more games recently than Uganda Revenue.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Uganda Revenue Clean Sheet 21%
BUL Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda Revenue BUL
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs BUL
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Premier League
BUL vs Uganda Revenue
0:0
Mar 14, 2025 Premier League
BUL vs Uganda Revenue
2:1
Oct 18, 2024 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs BUL
0:1
Mar 8, 2024 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs BUL
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda Revenue Compare

Top Goalscorer Bunyaga B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

BUL Compare

Top Goalscorer Okello R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda Revenue 32 / 100
BUL 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda Revenue BUL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BUL has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Uganda Revenue has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Uganda Revenue scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Uganda Revenue VS BUL
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda Revenue

(Home)
15 Sept
NEC FC
4 : 1
Uganda Revenue
04 Sept
Uganda Revenue
0 : 1
Villa
30 Aug
Maroons
1 : 2
Uganda Revenue
22 May
Buhimba
0 : 3
Uganda Revenue
19 May
Uganda Revenue
0 : 0
Kampala City
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BUL

(Away)
15 Sept
BUL
2 : 1
Blacks Power
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
30 Aug
BUL
1 : 0
Express FC
23 May
Entebbe UPPC
4 : 0
BUL
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League (Main)