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Uganda Revenue vs Maroons - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 Hamz Stadium, Kampala
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Mayanja I.
27' Event
Bunyaga B.
60' Event
Ojok D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Uganda Revenue
15%
Draws
39%
Maroons
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda Revenue

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maroons lately — more wins on the board than Uganda Revenue.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Uganda Revenue Clean Sheet 68%
Maroons Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda Revenue Maroons
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.07 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Premier League
Maroons vs Uganda Revenue
1:2
Apr 28, 2026 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs Maroons
2:2
Nov 5, 2025 Premier League
Maroons vs Uganda Revenue
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs Maroons
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Premier League
Maroons vs Uganda Revenue
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda Revenue Compare

Top Goalscorer Bunyaga B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amaku F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Maroons Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayanja I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ojok D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda Revenue 42 / 100
Maroons 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda Revenue Maroons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Maroons conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Uganda Revenue remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Maroons's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Uganda Revenue VS Maroons
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda Revenue

(Home)
15 Sept
NEC FC
4 : 1
Uganda Revenue
04 Sept
Uganda Revenue
0 : 1
Villa
30 Aug
Maroons
1 : 2
Uganda Revenue
22 May
Buhimba
0 : 3
Uganda Revenue
19 May
Uganda Revenue
0 : 0
Kampala City
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Maroons

(Away)
07 Oct
Maroons
3 : 0
Lugazi
17 Sept
UPDF FC
1 : 0
Maroons
08 Sept
Maroons
1 : 2
Blacks Power
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
30 Aug
Maroons
1 : 2
Uganda Revenue
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League (Main)