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Uganda U17 vs D.R. Congo U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 Mohammed VI Football Academy (pitch 8), Salé
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Owen M.
Assist: Mubiru T.
41'
Sub
Ignace S. In: Hugo M.
Out: Ignace S.
45'
Sub
Wunda D. In: Mukaz G.
Out: Wunda D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Uganda U17
15%
Draws
0%
D.R. Congo U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • D.R. Congo U17 haven't matched Uganda U17's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Uganda U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Uganda U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Uganda U17 Clean Sheet 18%
D.R. Congo U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda U17 D.R. Congo U17
Matches Played 25 10
Wins 12 1
Draws 4 1
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.64 0.3
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Uganda U17 vs D.R. Congo U17
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kawooya N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

D.R. Congo U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda U17 85 / 100
D.R. Congo U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda U17 D.R. Congo U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda U17 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (25 games).

D.R. Congo U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 9 matches.

Away concern: D.R. Congo U17 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Uganda U17 VS D.R. Congo U17
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda U17

(Home)
23 May
Uganda U17
3 : 2
Ghana U17
19 May
Ivory Coast U17
2 : 2
Uganda U17
16 May
Cameroon U17
1 : 0
Uganda U17
13 May
Uganda U17
3 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
18 Nov
Uganda U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
Page 1 of 5

D.R. Congo U17

(Away)
19 May
Cameroon U17
1 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
16 May
D.R. Congo U17
0 : 1
Ivory Coast U17
13 May
Uganda U17
3 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
24 Jun
D.R. Congo U17
:
Chad U17
02 Aug
Nigeria U17
4 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U17 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Egypt U17 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Ethiopia U17 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Tunisia U17 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U17 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Cameroon U17 3 2 0 1 2:2 6
3 Uganda U17 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 D.R. Congo U17 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania U17 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
2 Mali U17 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Mozambique U17 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
4 Angola U17 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U17 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Algeria U17 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Ghana U17 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 South Africa U17 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)