Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uganda U17 vs Gambia U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 Ben M'Hamed El Abdi Stadium, El Jadida
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Njundu A.
13' Event
Bogere J.
Assist: Torach E.
33' Event
Bogere J.

AI Match Summary

Uganda U17 in this Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Uganda U17
15%
Draws
26%
Gambia U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Uganda U17 have won more games recently than Gambia U17.
  • Uganda U17 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Uganda U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Uganda U17 Clean Sheet 13%
Gambia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda U17 Gambia U17
Matches Played 25 24
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 1
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.64 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Uganda U17 vs Gambia U17
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogere J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gambia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Njundu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda U17 39 / 100
Gambia U17 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda U17 Gambia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uganda U17 scored in 84% of their last 25 outings.

Gambia U17 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 24 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Uganda U17 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uganda U17 VS Gambia U17
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda U17

(Home)
23 May
Uganda U17
3 : 2
Ghana U17
19 May
Ivory Coast U17
2 : 2
Uganda U17
16 May
Cameroon U17
1 : 0
Uganda U17
13 May
Uganda U17
3 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
18 Nov
Uganda U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
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Gambia U17

(Away)
12 Apr
Uganda U17
2 : 1
Gambia U17
07 Apr
Gambia U17
1 : 2
Tunisia U17
04 Apr
Gambia U17
5 : 1
Somalia U17
01 Apr
Senegal U17
1 : 0
Gambia U17
26 Oct
Ghana U17
3 : 0
Gambia U17
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Uganda U17 2
Gambia U17 1
Egypt U17 2
Angola U17 1