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Uganda U17 vs Ghana U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 Mohammed VI Football Academy (pitch 11), Salé
Sat, May 23, 2026
3 - 2
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Gyamfi E.
Assist: Wunzalgu L.
27'
Barfo I.
34' Event
Owen M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Uganda U17
20%
Draws
40%
Ghana U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ghana U17 lately — more wins on the board than Uganda U17.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Ghana U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 55.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Uganda U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Ghana U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda U17 Ghana U17
Matches Played 25 26
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.64 2
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 2.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Uganda U17 vs Ghana U17
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Ghana U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gyamfi E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wunzalgu L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.9
Avg xA / game 1.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda U17 29 / 100
Ghana U17 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda U17 Ghana U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda U17's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Ghana U17 let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

Recent resilience: Uganda U17 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uganda U17 VS Ghana U17
1.38 Goals Scored 2.43
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.57
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 86%
25% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda U17

(Home)
23 May
Uganda U17
3 : 2
Ghana U17
19 May
Ivory Coast U17
2 : 2
Uganda U17
16 May
Cameroon U17
1 : 0
Uganda U17
13 May
Uganda U17
3 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
18 Nov
Uganda U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
Page 1 of 5

Ghana U17

(Away)
23 May
Uganda U17
3 : 2
Ghana U17
20 May
South Africa U17
1 : 3
Ghana U17
17 May
Ghana U17
0 : 1
Senegal U17
14 May
Algeria U17
2 : 2
Ghana U17
18 Apr
Switzerland U16
2 : 3
Ghana U17
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Ethiopia U17 1
Mozambique U17 2
Uganda U17 3
Ghana U17 2