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Uganda U20 vs Ethiopia U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 2024 Chamazi Stadium, Chamazi
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Sekibengo G.
40' Event
Mpasa S.
Assist: Oyirwoth A.
90' Event
Babulo B. B.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Uganda U20 in this CECAFA Championship U20 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uganda U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Uganda U20
15%
Draws
7%
Ethiopia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Uganda U20 have won more games recently than Ethiopia U20.
  • Uganda U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Uganda U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Ethiopia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda U20 Ethiopia U20
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 19 8
Draws 3 2
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.83 1.12
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.89 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2024 CECAFA Championship U20
Uganda U20 vs Ethiopia U20
3:0
Nov 5, 2022 CECAFA Championship U20
Ethiopia U20 vs Uganda U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sekibengo G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mpasa S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ethiopia U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda U20 95 / 100
Ethiopia U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda U20 Ethiopia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda U20 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Ethiopia U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Uganda U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uganda U20 VS Ethiopia U20
1.38 Goals Scored 0.6
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.4
38% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda U20

(Home)
24 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
22 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 3
Sudan U20
19 Sept
Sudan U20
0 : 1
Uganda U20
15 Sept
Uganda U20
4 : 1
Djibouti U20
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
Page 1 of 6

Ethiopia U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Ethiopia U20
0 : 4
Tanzania U20
17 Sept
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Ethiopia U20
11 Oct
Burundi U20
3 : 2
Ethiopia U20
09 Oct
South Sudan U20
2 : 1
Ethiopia U20
07 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 0
Ethiopia U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya U20 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
2 Tanzania U20 4 3 0 1 12:2 9
3 Sudan U20 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
4 Rwanda U20 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Djibouti U20 4 0 0 4 2:19 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda U20 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
2 Burundi U20 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
3 South Sudan U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Ethiopia U20 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)