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Uganda U20 vs Tanzania U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Uganda U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Uganda U20
15%
Draws
36%
Tanzania U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Uganda U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Uganda U20's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Uganda U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda U20, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Uganda U20 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Uganda U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Tanzania U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda U20 Tanzania U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 20 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.87 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.51 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2024 CECAFA Championship U20
Uganda U20 vs Tanzania U20
1:2
Oct 29, 2022 CECAFA Championship U20
Uganda U20 vs Tanzania U20
2:0
Dec 2, 2020 CECAFA Championship U20
Uganda U20 vs Tanzania U20
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda U20 42 / 100
Tanzania U20 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda U20 Tanzania U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda U20 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Tanzania U20 let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Uganda U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uganda U20 VS Tanzania U20
2.14 Goals Scored 1
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 50%
71% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda U20

(Home)
24 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
22 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 3
Sudan U20
19 Sept
Sudan U20
0 : 1
Uganda U20
15 Sept
Uganda U20
4 : 1
Djibouti U20
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
Page 1 of 6

Tanzania U20

(Away)
24 Sept
Tanzania U20
1 : 2
Sudan U20
22 Sept
Tanzania U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
19 Sept
Ethiopia U20
0 : 4
Tanzania U20
15 Sept
Tanzania U20
3 : 0
Rwanda U20
09 May
Tanzania U20
0 : 1
Egypt U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Uganda U20 3
Kenya U20 1
Tanzania U20 1
South Sudan U20 0
Final
Uganda U20 4
Tanzania U20 1
Kenya U20 1
South Sudan U20 2