Sport Picks
Uganda vs Madagascar
World
Friendly International Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech 
AI Match Summary
Uganda host Madagascar in the Friendly International. This one's hard to separate. Madagascar have shipped 1.44 goals a game lately, while Uganda have conceded 1.33 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Madagascar slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 8, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.75) back Uganda to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Madagascar have won more games recently than Uganda.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uganda | Madagascar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Uganda scored in 75% of their last 24 outings.
Madagascar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.
Games between these two average 1.75 goals.
Solid form: Uganda remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
