Sport Picks
Uganda vs Madagascar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
World
Friendly International Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech 
AI Match Summary
Uganda host Madagascar in the Friendly International. This one's hard to separate. Madagascar have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Uganda have conceded 1.33 and scored 1.29. Past meetings favor Madagascar slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 8, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.81 - 1.31) back Madagascar to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Madagascar have won more games recently than Uganda.
- Win probability leans Uganda's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uganda | Madagascar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Uganda scored in 79% of their last 24 outings.
Madagascar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.
Games between these two average 1.75 goals.
Solid form: Uganda remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
