Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uganda W vs Burundi W

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship Women Azam Complex Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Habonimana E.

AI Match Summary

The CECAFA Championship Women game between Uganda W and Burundi W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burundi W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Uganda W
15%
Draws
42%
Burundi W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Uganda W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Uganda W a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Uganda W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Uganda W Clean Sheet 68%
Burundi W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda W Burundi W
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 21 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.92 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2025 CECAFA Championship Women
Uganda W vs Burundi W
0:1
Jun 11, 2022 CECAFA Championship Women
Uganda W vs Burundi W
3:1
Jun 5, 2022 CECAFA Championship Women
Uganda W vs Burundi W
4:1
Nov 25, 2019 CECAFA Championship Women
Burundi W vs Uganda W
0:2
Sep 15, 2016 CECAFA Championship Women
Uganda W vs Burundi W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Burundi W Compare

Top Goalscorer Habonimana E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda W 95 / 100
Burundi W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda W Burundi W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uganda W scored in 78% of their last 36 outings.

Defensive concern: Burundi W conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: Burundi W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uganda W VS Burundi W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda W

(Home)
19 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 2
Tanzania W
17 Jun
Kenya W
4 : 0
Uganda W
15 Jun
South Sudan W
0 : 5
Uganda W
13 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 1
Burundi W
26 Feb
Ethiopia W
3 : 0
Uganda W
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Burundi W

(Away)
21 Jun
Burundi W
1 : 3
South Sudan W
17 Jun
Tanzania W
6 : 0
Burundi W
15 Jun
Burundi W
0 : 3
Kenya W
13 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 1
Burundi W
26 Feb
Burkina Faso W
4 : 1
Burundi W
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