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Uganda W vs Kenya W

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship Women 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The CECAFA Championship Women 2016 game between Uganda W and Kenya W finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kenya W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Uganda W
15%
Draws
42%
Kenya W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Uganda W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Uganda W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Uganda W Clean Sheet 10%
Kenya W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda W Kenya W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.6 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2025 CECAFA Championship Women
Kenya W vs Uganda W
4:0
Feb 21, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Kenya W vs Uganda W
0:0
Feb 14, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Uganda W vs Kenya W
0:0
Nov 21, 2019 CECAFA Championship Women
Kenya W vs Uganda W
3:0
Jul 19, 2018 CECAFA Championship Women
Kenya W vs Uganda W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda W 34 / 100
Kenya W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda W Kenya W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda W found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Kenya W conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Difficult form: Kenya W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uganda W VS Kenya W
1.67 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda W

(Home)
19 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 2
Tanzania W
17 Jun
Kenya W
4 : 0
Uganda W
15 Jun
South Sudan W
0 : 5
Uganda W
13 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 1
Burundi W
26 Feb
Ethiopia W
3 : 0
Uganda W
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Kenya W

(Away)
03 Aug
Kenya W
0 : 2
Algeria W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Morocco W
4 : 0
Kenya W
09 Jun
Lesotho W
0 : 6
Kenya W
06 Jun
Zambia W
2 : 1
Kenya W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya W 3 3 0 0 19:0 9
2 Uganda W 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
3 Burundi W 3 1 0 2 10:6 3
4 Zanzibar W 3 0 0 3 1:30 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship Women 2016 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania W 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Ethiopia W 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 Rwanda W 2 0 0 2 4:6 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship Women 2016 (Play Offs)