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Ugyen Academy vs Samtse

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Dorji C.
48' Event
Tshering Dorji S.
82' Event
Sherpa Y.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025 game between Ugyen Academy and Samtse finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ugyen Academy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ugyen Academy
15%
Draws
85%
Samtse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samtse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ugyen Academy come out ahead of Samtse on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ugyen Academy's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ugyen Academy have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ugyen Academy Clean Sheet 10%
Samtse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ugyen Academy Samtse
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 1 2
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 1.43 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.03 4.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2025 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Samtse
3:0
May 16, 2025 Premier League
Samtse vs Ugyen Academy
4:3
Feb 23, 2013 Premier League
Samtse vs Ugyen Academy
1:2
Jan 13, 2013 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Samtse
8:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ugyen Academy Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorji C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tshering Dorji S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Samtse Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ugyen Academy 83 / 100
Samtse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ugyen Academy Samtse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ugyen Academy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samtse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ugyen Academy scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Samtse lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ugyen Academy VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
3.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ugyen Academy

(Home)
24 Sept
Ugyen Academy
2 : 4
Drukpa
21 Sept
Thimphu FC
1 : 0
Ugyen Academy
13 Sept
Thimphu City
6 : 0
Ugyen Academy
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
16 Aug
Ugyen Academy
2 : 3
Tensung
Page 1 of 6

Samtse

(Away)
03 Oct
Samtse
0 : 2
Tensung
25 Sept
RTC
12 : 1
Samtse
23 Sept
Samtse
1 : 10
Thimphu City
17 Sept
Samtse
1 : 9
Transport United
13 Sept
Samtse
9 : 0
Southern City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 18 16 1 1 74:17 49
2 Thimphu City 18 14 1 3 64:23 43
3 RTC 18 12 2 4 62:19 38
4 Transport United 18 11 1 6 46:27 34
5 BFF Academy U19 18 8 3 7 40:36 27
6 Ugyen Academy 18 8 1 9 38:41 25
7 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 21:42 16
8 Tensung 18 3 2 13 17:48 11
9 Southern City 18 3 1 14 15:59 10
10 Samtse 18 2 2 14 22:87 8
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)