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Uirapuru vs Várzea Grande EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Uirapuru Logo

Uirapuru

1 - 4
FT
Várzea Grande EC Logo

Várzea Grande EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Uirapuru
20%
Draws
60%
Várzea Grande EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Várzea Grande EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Uirapuru haven't matched Várzea Grande EC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Várzea Grande EC a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Várzea Grande EC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Várzea Grande EC, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Uirapuru Clean Sheet 16%
Várzea Grande EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uirapuru Várzea Grande EC
Matches Played 15 28
Wins 5 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Uirapuru vs Várzea Grande EC
1:4
Jun 24, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Uirapuru vs Várzea Grande EC
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uirapuru 19 / 100
Várzea Grande EC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uirapuru Várzea Grande EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Várzea Grande EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Várzea Grande EC let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Uirapuru's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Várzea Grande EC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uirapuru VS Várzea Grande EC
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Uirapuru

(Home)
03 Oct
Uirapuru
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
30 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 0
Uirapuru
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
19 Sept
Uirapuru
2 : 3
Santa Cruz MT
16 Sept
Chapada
1 : 1
Uirapuru
Page 1 of 3

Várzea Grande EC

(Away)
07 Oct
Chapada
3 : 0
Várzea Grande EC
27 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 5
Chapada
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
20 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Uniao Rondonopolis
13 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Rondonopolis 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
2 Chapada 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
3 Santa Cruz MT 5 2 0 3 8:7 6
4 Várzea Grande EC 5 2 0 3 9:13 6
5 Uirapuru 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 Sorriso EC 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
3 Cacerense 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
4 Campo Novo 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)