Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ukraine U18 vs Wales U18

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Fedorenko A.

AI Match Summary

Ukraine U18 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ukraine U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ukraine U18
20%
Draws
22%
Wales U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ukraine U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ukraine U18 have won more games recently than Wales U18.
  • Win probability leans Ukraine U18's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ukraine U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Wales U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine U18 Wales U18
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.65 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Friendly International
Ukraine U18 vs Wales U18
1:0
May 11, 2018 Slovakia Cup
Wales U18 vs Ukraine U18
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fedorenko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Wales U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine U18 76 / 100
Wales U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine U18 Wales U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ukraine U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ukraine U18 scored in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Wales U18 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Ukraine U18 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine U18 VS Wales U18
1.5 Goals Scored 0.86
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine U18

(Home)
23 Sept
Japan U18
2 : 1
Ukraine U18
09 Jun
Turkey U18
0 : 1
Ukraine U18
06 Jun
Ukraine U18
1 : 1
Norway U18
04 Jun
Ukraine U18
0 : 0
Finland U18
19 Feb
Italy U18
0 : 1
Ukraine U18
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Wales U18

(Away)
13 Oct
Croatia U18
1 : 0
Wales U18
11 Oct
Ukraine U18
1 : 0
Wales U18
09 Oct
Sweden U18
3 : 1
Wales U18
13 Sept
Australia U17
2 : 1
Wales U18
11 Sept
Japan U17
0 : 1
Wales U18
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