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Stadium Background

Ukraine U20 vs Spain U20

World World

World Cup U20 Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Cuenca A.
24' Event
Garcia P.
Assist: Mendoza R.
46'
Sub
Ponomarenko M. In: Pyshchur O.
Out: Ponomarenko M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ukraine U20
20%
Draws
40%
Spain U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ukraine U20 haven't matched Spain U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ukraine U20's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Spain U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ukraine U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Spain U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine U20 Spain U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 21
Draws 7 2
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2025 World Cup U20
Ukraine U20 vs Spain U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Spain U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine U20 40 / 100
Spain U20 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine U20 Spain U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ukraine U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ukraine U20's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Ukraine U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Spain U20 let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine U20 VS Spain U20
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine U20

(Home)
07 Oct
Ukraine U20
0 : 1
Spain U20
03 Oct
Ukraine U20
2 : 1
Paraguay U20
30 Sept
Panama U20
1 : 1
Ukraine U20
27 Sept
South Korea U20
1 : 2
Ukraine U20
21 Sept
Ukraine U20
2 : 3
Australia U20
Page 1 of 6

Spain U20

(Away)
11 Oct
Spain U20
2 : 3
Colombia U20
07 Oct
Ukraine U20
0 : 1
Spain U20
04 Oct
Spain U20
1 : 0
Brazil U20
01 Oct
Spain U20
2 : 2
Mexico U20
28 Sept
Morocco U20
2 : 0
Spain U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Chile U20 1
Mexico U20 4
Argentina U20 4
Nigeria U20 0
Ukraine U20 0
Spain U20 1
Colombia U20 3
South Africa U20 1
USA U20 3
Italy U20 0
Morocco U20 2
South Korea U20 1
Paraguay U20 0
Norway U20 1
Japan U20 0
France U20 1
Quarter-finals
Mexico U20 0
Argentina U20 2
Spain U20 2
Colombia U20 3
USA U20 1
Morocco U20 3
Norway U20 1
France U20 2
Semi-finals
Argentina U20 1
Colombia U20 0
Morocco U20 2
France U20 1
Final
Argentina U20 0
Morocco U20 2
Colombia U20 1
France U20 0