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Ukraine U20 vs USA U20

World World

World Cup U20 2019 Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej, Bielsko-Biała
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Tsitaishvili G.
22'
Musolitin M.
26' Event
Buletsa S.
Assist: Tsitaishvili G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Ukraine U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ukraine U20
20%
Draws
40%
USA U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USA U20 come out ahead of Ukraine U20 on wins alone.
  • USA U20 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • USA U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ukraine U20, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ukraine U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ukraine U20 Clean Sheet 14%
USA U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine U20 USA U20
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 17 21
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.57 2.06
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2019 World Cup U20
Ukraine U20 vs USA U20
2:1
Jun 5, 2015 World Cup U20
Ukraine U20 vs USA U20
3:0
Jun 23, 2001 World Cup U20
USA U20 vs Ukraine U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Buletsa S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Popov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

USA U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Servania B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine U20 27 / 100
USA U20 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine U20 USA U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ukraine U20's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Ukraine U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

USA U20 let in goals in 54% of their last 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine U20 VS USA U20
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine U20

(Home)
07 Oct
Ukraine U20
0 : 1
Spain U20
03 Oct
Ukraine U20
2 : 1
Paraguay U20
30 Sept
Panama U20
1 : 1
Ukraine U20
27 Sept
South Korea U20
1 : 2
Ukraine U20
21 Sept
Ukraine U20
2 : 3
Australia U20
Page 1 of 6

USA U20

(Away)
04 Oct
Denmark U20
3 : 3
USA U20
01 Oct
Brazil U20
2 : 0
USA U20
09 Aug
USA U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
07 Aug
Costa Rica U20
0 : 2
USA U20
05 Aug
USA U20
3 : 1
Guatemala U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U20 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Colombia U20 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
3 Poland U20 3 1 1 1 5:2 4
4 Tahiti U20 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - World Cup U20 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U20 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Japan U20 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
3 Ecuador U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Mexico U20 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - World Cup U20 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruguay U20 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 New Zealand U20 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
3 Norway U20 3 1 0 2 13:5 3
4 Honduras U20 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - World Cup U20 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U20 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 USA U20 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Nigeria U20 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Qatar U20 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - World Cup U20 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U20 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Mali U20 3 1 1 1 7:7 4
3 Panama U20 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Saudi Arabia U20 3 0 0 3 4:8 0
Promotion - World Cup U20 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U20 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
2 South Korea U20 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Portugal U20 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
4 South Africa U20 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams