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Stadium Background

Ukraine U21 vs Croatia U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U21 DVTK Stadion, Miskolc
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Malov D.
9' Event
Pyshchur O.
Assist: Gryshkevych D.
26'
Sepic N.

AI Match Summary

Ukraine U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ukraine U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Ukraine U21
35%
Draws
40%
Croatia U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Croatia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Croatia U21 average 1.86 goals a game right now, well clear of Ukraine U21's 1.64.
  • Croatia U21 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ukraine U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Croatia U21 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine U21 Croatia U21
Matches Played 36 35
Wins 18 18
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.64 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Euro U21
Ukraine U21 vs Croatia U21
1:0
Oct 14, 2025 Euro U21
Croatia U21 vs Ukraine U21
1:0
Jun 21, 2023 Euro U21
Ukraine U21 vs Croatia U21
2:0
May 28, 2014 Euro U21
Croatia U21 vs Ukraine U21
1:1
Sep 9, 2013 Euro U21
Ukraine U21 vs Croatia U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pyshchur O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Croatia U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine U21 22 / 100
Croatia U21 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine U21 Croatia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croatia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ukraine U21's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Croatia U21 let in goals in 63% of their last 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Ukraine U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine U21 VS Croatia U21
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine U21

(Home)
05 Oct
Ukraine U21
2 : 2
Albania U21
02 Oct
Ukraine U21
1 : 0
Croatia U21
26 Sept
Ukraine U21
2 : 2
Turkey U21
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
USA U21
3 : 1
Ukraine U21
Page 1 of 8

Croatia U21

(Away)
02 Oct
Ukraine U21
1 : 0
Croatia U21
26 Sept
Croatia U21
3 : 1
Hungary U21
06 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 2
Ireland U21
03 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 0
Qatar U23
30 May
Croatia U21
1 : 1
Greece U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 0 1 47:5 27
2 Finland U21 10 7 2 1 34:7 23
3 Romania U21 10 5 1 4 12:13 16
4 Kosovo U21 10 4 3 3 21:11 15
5 Cyprus U21 10 2 0 8 8:29 6
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 0:57 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 8 1 1 35:2 25
2 Czech Republic U21 10 5 3 2 17:6 18
3 Scotland U21 10 5 2 3 25:12 17
4 Bulgaria U21 10 4 2 4 9:10 14
5 Azerbaijan U21 10 2 4 4 11:24 10
6 Gibraltar U21 10 0 0 10 1:44 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 10 8 2 0 34:8 26
2 Iceland U21 10 5 3 2 22:11 18
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 2 3 17:17 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 4 0 6 8:17 12
5 Luxembourg U21 10 3 1 6 13:22 10
6 Estonia U21 10 0 2 8 9:28 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 7 2 1 23:7 23
2 Ireland U21 10 6 2 2 16:14 20
3 Slovakia U21 10 6 2 2 17:13 20
4 Moldova U21 10 2 3 5 12:19 9
5 Andorra U21 10 2 2 6 7:12 8
6 Kazakhstan U21 10 1 1 8 11:21 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 9 0 1 32:7 27
2 Poland U21 10 9 0 1 28:8 27
3 Sweden U21 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
4 Montenegro U21 10 3 3 4 13:16 12
5 North Macedonia U21 10 2 1 7 8:20 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 1 9 5:25 1
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 9 0 1 32:5 27
2 Greece U21 10 9 0 1 29:6 27
3 Northern Ireland U21 10 4 2 4 13:13 14
4 Georgia U21 10 2 4 4 13:15 10
5 Latvia U21 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 2:38 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 8 5 2 1 19:6 17
2 Netherlands U21 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
3 Israel U21 8 2 5 1 10:10 11
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 4 3 3:11 7
5 Slovenia U21 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Turkey U21 8 3 4 1 9:8 13
3 Ukraine U21 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
4 Hungary U21 8 1 4 3 9:13 7
5 Lithuania U21 8 0 2 6 4:17 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 8 5 2 1 13:2 17
2 Denmark U21 8 4 3 1 15:6 15
3 Austria U21 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Wales U21 8 2 0 6 7:28 6
5 Belarus U21 8 1 1 6 7:12 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)