Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U21 Košická futbalová aréna, Košice

Ukraine U21

1 - 1

Lithuania U21

Our Tip

Match Events

60'

Krevsun D.

Assist: Krupskyi I.

66'

Glushchenko A.

70'

Steponavicius F.

Assist: Gudelevicius E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Ukraine U21

35%

Draws

28%

Lithuania U21

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ukraine U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Ukraine U21 lately — more wins on the board than Lithuania U21.
Ukraine U21 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Ukraine U21 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Ukraine U21 Clean Sheet 20%

Lithuania U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ukraine U21	Lithuania U21
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	13	2
Draws	5	6
Losses	12	21
Goals Scored	1.53	0.79
Goals Conceded	1.43	2.24
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Euro U21

Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21

1:1

Sep 5, 2025 Euro U21

Lithuania U21 vs Ukraine U21

0:4

Jan 29, 2014 CIS Cup

Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21

4:1

Jan 25, 2013 CIS Cup

Lithuania U21 vs Ukraine U21

1:2

Jan 19, 2013 CIS Cup

Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Krevsun D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Lithuania U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Steponavicius F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.85

Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine U21 42 / 100

Lithuania U21 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ukraine U21 Lithuania U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lithuania U21 has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ukraine U21 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Ukraine U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine U21 VS Lithuania U21

1.5 Goals Scored 0.63

1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25

63% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine U21

(Home)

08 Jun

Japan U21

3 : 0

Ukraine U21

05 Jun

USA U21

3 : 1

Ukraine U21

31 Mar

Hungary U21

1 : 2

Ukraine U21

27 Mar

Ukraine U21

1 : 1

Lithuania U21

17 Nov

Albania U21

2 : 0

Ukraine U21

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Lithuania U21

(Away)

09 Jun

Lithuania U21

2 : 2

Latvia U21

07 Jun

Estonia U21

2 : 2

Lithuania U21

27 Mar

Ukraine U21

1 : 1

Lithuania U21

18 Nov

Lithuania U21

1 : 2

Turkey U21

13 Nov

Croatia U21

4 : 0

Lithuania U21

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