Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Košická futbalová aréna, Košice
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Krevsun D.
Assist: Krupskyi I.
66'
Glushchenko A.
70' Event
Steponavicius F.
Assist: Gudelevicius E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ukraine U21
20%
Draws
38%
Lithuania U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ukraine U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ukraine U21 lately — more wins on the board than Lithuania U21.
  • Ukraine U21 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ukraine U21 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ukraine U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Lithuania U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine U21 Lithuania U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 2
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Euro U21
Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21
1:1
Sep 5, 2025 Euro U21
Lithuania U21 vs Ukraine U21
0:4
Jan 29, 2014 CIS Cup
Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21
4:1
Jan 25, 2013 CIS Cup
Lithuania U21 vs Ukraine U21
1:2
Jan 19, 2013 CIS Cup
Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Krevsun D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lithuania U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Steponavicius F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine U21 42 / 100
Lithuania U21 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine U21 Lithuania U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lithuania U21 has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ukraine U21 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Ukraine U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine U21 VS Lithuania U21
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine U21

(Home)
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
USA U21
3 : 1
Ukraine U21
31 Mar
Hungary U21
1 : 2
Ukraine U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
17 Nov
Albania U21
2 : 0
Ukraine U21
Page 1 of 6

Lithuania U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2
Latvia U21
07 Jun
Estonia U21
2 : 2
Lithuania U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
18 Nov
Lithuania U21
1 : 2
Turkey U21
13 Nov
Croatia U21
4 : 0
Lithuania U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U21770026:221
2Finland U21751126:216
3Romania U2174128:413
4Kosovo U21722312:68
5Cyprus U2171065:243
6San Marino U2170070:390
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U21761028:019
2Czech Republic U21742115:314
3Scotland U21832318:1011
4Bulgaria U2173227:611
5Azerbaijan U2171335:186
6Gibraltar U2180081:370
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France U21651021:416
2Switzerland U21742110:514
3Iceland U21732214:911
4Faroe Islands U2173046:139
5Luxembourg U2161147:144
6Estonia U2170258:212
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U21761018:219
2Slovakia U21751115:1016
3Ireland U2173227:1011
4Andorra U2182156:107
5Moldova U2181259:175
6Kazakhstan U2171154:104
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Poland U21880023:224
2Italy U21870125:521
3Montenegro U21831411:1410
4Sweden U21831410:1910
5North Macedonia U2182067:176
6Armenia U2180084:230
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U21760122:418
2Greece U21760121:418
3Northern Ireland U2173138:1110
4Georgia U21723212:99
5Latvia U2171244:125
6Malta U2170071:280
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway U21540112:412
2Bosnia & Herzegovina U2161412:17
3Israel U2161416:77
4Netherlands U2151227:85
5Slovenia U2161233:105
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia U21541011:113
2Turkey U2163217:611
3Ukraine U21622210:78
4Hungary U2150326:93
5Lithuania U2160243:142
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium U21531111:210
2Austria U2163127:710
3Denmark U21531112:510
4Wales U2162046:206
5Belarus U2161147:94
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)