Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ukraine vs Belgium

Europe Europe

Euro 2024 MHPArena, Stuttgart
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Faes W.
58'
Sub
Mykolenko V. In: Zinchenko O.
Out: Mykolenko V.
62'
Sub
Tielemans Y. In: Mangala O.
Out: Tielemans Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Euro 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ukraine
15%
Draws
45%
Belgium
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belgium

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Belgium have won more games recently than Ukraine.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Belgium taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ukraine Clean Sheet 10%
Belgium Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine Belgium
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.41 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 UEFA Nations League
Belgium vs Ukraine
3:0
Mar 20, 2025 UEFA Nations League
Ukraine vs Belgium
3:1
Jun 26, 2024 Euro
Ukraine vs Belgium
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine 26 / 100
Belgium 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine Belgium

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ukraine found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Belgium has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Ukraine stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine VS Belgium
1 Goals Scored 2.75
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.63
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine

(Home)
07 Jun
Denmark
2 : 1
Ukraine
31 May
Poland
0 : 2
Ukraine
31 Mar
Ukraine
1 : 0
Albania
26 Mar
Ukraine
1 : 3
Sweden
16 Nov
Ukraine
2 : 0
Iceland
Page 1 of 6

Belgium

(Away)
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1
Belgium
07 Jul
USA
1 : 4
Belgium
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
27 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 5
Belgium
21 Jun
Belgium
0 : 0
Iran
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Switzerland 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Hungary 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Scotland 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Italy 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Croatia 3 0 2 1 3:6 2
4 Albania 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 Denmark 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
3 Slovenia 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
4 Serbia 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 France 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Netherlands 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Poland 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
2 Belgium 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
3 Slovakia 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Ukraine 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
2 Turkey 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Georgia 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams