Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Tarczynski Arena, Wrocław

Ukraine

0 - 2

France

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Olise M.

Assist: Barcola B.

46'

Sub

Doue D. In: Dembele O.

Out: Doue D.

76'

Sub

Zubkov O. In: Nazarenko O.

Out: Zubkov O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

France in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored France.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Ukraine

20%

Draws

57%

France

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: France

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to France lately — more wins on the board than Ukraine.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Ukraine Clean Sheet 11%

France Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ukraine	France
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	22
Draws	6	3
Losses	12	5
Goals Scored	1.3	2.33
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	0.73	1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 World Championship

France vs Ukraine

4:0

Sep 5, 2025 World Championship

Ukraine vs France

0:2

Sep 4, 2021 World Championship

Ukraine vs France

1:1

Mar 24, 2021 World Championship

France vs Ukraine

1:1

Oct 7, 2020 Friendly International

France vs Ukraine

7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine Compare

Avg xG / game 0.56

Avg xA / game 0.36

France Compare

Top Goalscorer Olise M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mbappe K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.66

Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine 35 / 100

France 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ukraine France

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick France Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ukraine scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

France has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Ukraine remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine VS France

0.83 Goals Scored 2.5

1.17 Goals Conceded 0.63

67% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine

(Home)

05 Oct

Ukraine

1 : 2

Hungary

02 Oct

Ukraine

0 : 3

Northern Ireland

28 Sept

Georgia

0 : 0

Ukraine

25 Sept

Hungary

0 : 1

Ukraine

07 Jun

Denmark

2 : 1

Ukraine

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France

(Away)

05 Oct

France

4 : 1

Belgium

02 Oct

France

1 : 1

Italy

28 Sept

Belgium

0 : 1

France

25 Sept

Turkey

0 : 1

France

18 Jul

France

4 : 6

England

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