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Ukraine W vs Slovakia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women Košická futbalová aréna, Košice
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the World Cup Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Ukraine W at 1.25 goals for, 1.54 against; Slovakia W at 1.93 for, 1.37 against. Past meetings favor Ukraine W slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 25, 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.69) point toward Ukraine W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ukraine W
15%
Draws
85%
Slovakia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Slovakia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Slovakia W lately — more wins on the board than Ukraine W.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Slovakia W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ukraine W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ukraine W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ukraine W Clean Sheet 13%
Slovakia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine W Slovakia W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Friendly International Women
Slovakia W vs Ukraine W
1:2
Jun 20, 2012 Euro Women
Slovakia W vs Ukraine W
0:2
Oct 22, 2011 Euro Women
Ukraine W vs Slovakia W
0:0
Jun 20, 2007 Euro Women
Ukraine W vs Slovakia W
5:0
May 9, 2007 Euro Women
Slovakia W vs Ukraine W
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine W 31 / 100
Slovakia W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine W Slovakia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slovakia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ukraine W's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Slovakia W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Slovakia W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine W VS Slovakia W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine W

(Home)
09 Jun
England W
3 : 0
Ukraine W
05 Jun
Ukraine W
0 : 1
Iceland W
18 Apr
Spain W
5 : 0
Ukraine W
14 Apr
Iceland W
1 : 0
Ukraine W
07 Mar
Ukraine W
1 : 3
Spain W
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Slovakia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Latvia W
1 : 2
Slovakia W
05 Jun
Slovakia W
0 : 4
Finland W
18 Apr
Slovakia W
1 : 2
Portugal W
14 Apr
Finland W
4 : 2
Slovakia W
07 Mar
Portugal W
4 : 0
Slovakia W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Slovakia W -
Ukraine W -
Greece W -
England W -
Finland W -
Serbia W -
Belarus W -
Italy W -
Northern Ireland W -
Portugal W -
Croatia W -
Iceland W -
Albania W -
Wales W -
Romania W -
Norway W -
Israel W -
Switzerland W -
Kosovo W -
Austria W -
Czech Republic W -
Scotland W -
Lithuania W -
Sweden W -
Belgium W -
Poland W -
Kazakhstan W -
Ireland W -
Turkey W -
Slovenia W -
Hungary W -
Netherlands W -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -