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Ulaangom City FC vs Falcons

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2025/2026
Sun, Oct 26, 2025
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ulaangom City FC host Falcons in the Premier League 2025/2026. Falcons are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Ulaangom City FC at 1.12 goals for, 5.62 against; Falcons at 3.5 for, 0.85 against. Head-to-head, Ulaangom City FC have won 0 to Falcons's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 26, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 3.13) point toward Falcons. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ulaangom City FC
15%
Draws
85%
Falcons
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Falcons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Falcons carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Falcons taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ulaangom City FC Clean Sheet 10%
Falcons Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulaangom City FC Falcons
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 3 19
Draws 2 5
Losses 21 2
Goals Scored 1.12 3.5
Goals Conceded 5.62 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Premier League
Ulaangom City FC vs Falcons
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulaangom City FC 10 / 100
Falcons 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulaangom City FC Falcons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falcons Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ulaangom City FC scored in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Falcons conceded in 58% of 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Falcons's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulaangom City FC VS Falcons
1.5 Goals Scored 0
5.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulaangom City FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Central Stallions
4 : 1
Ulaangom City FC
20 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 5
Deren
16 Sept
Khovd Western
4 : 1
Ulaangom City FC
13 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 1
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
04 Jul
Ulaangom City FC
1 : 11
Hunters
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Falcons

(Away)
01 Nov
Falcons
3 : 1
Ezra
29 Oct
Falcons
0 : 2
Manila Digger
26 Oct
Svay Rieng
3 : 0
Falcons
12 Oct
Khovd
0 : 2
Falcons
07 Oct
Khoromkhon
0 : 7
Falcons
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Ulaanbaatar 16 13 2 1 65:9 41
2 Central Stallions 16 12 3 1 54:14 39
3 Khangarid 16 10 3 3 59:19 33
4 Deren 16 9 3 4 57:16 30
5 Hunters 16 7 3 6 44:27 24
6 Khovd Western 16 5 3 8 29:36 18
7 Khovd 16 4 0 12 28:73 12
8 Khoromkhon 16 2 0 14 27:86 6
9 Ulaangom City FC 16 1 1 14 16:99 4
10 Falcons 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)