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Ulaangom City FC vs Falcons

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League
Sun, Oct 26, 2025
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ulaangom City FC play Falcons in the Premier League. Falcons are favorites here. Recently, Ulaangom City FC averaged 1.23 goals scored and 6 conceded. Falcons averaged 3.5 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. In past meetings, Ulaangom City FC won 0, Falcons won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 26, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Ulaangom City FC and 3.31 for Falcons. This points to a Falcons double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Ulaangom City FC
15%
Draws
70%
Falcons
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Falcons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ulaangom City FC picked up more points recently compared to Falcons.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 3.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Ulaangom City FC Clean Sheet 10%
Falcons Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulaangom City FC Falcons
Matches Played 22 26
Wins 3 19
Draws 2 5
Losses 17 2
Goals Scored 1.23 3.5
Goals Conceded 6 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Premier League
Ulaangom City FC vs Falcons
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulaangom City FC 16 / 100
Falcons 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulaangom City FC Falcons

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falcons Win (2)
Secondary Pick Falcons & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ulaangom City FC attacking → ← attacking Falcons

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulaangom City FC scored in 64% of their last 22 games.

Falcons let in goals in 58% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Ulaangom City FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Falcons lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 62
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
6.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Ulaanbaatar16132165:941
2Central Stallions16123154:1439
3Khangarid16103359:1933
4Deren1693457:1630
5Hunters1673644:2724
6Khovd Western1653829:3618
7Khovd16401228:7312
8Khoromkhon16201427:866
9Ulaangom City FC16111416:994
10Falcons00000:00