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Ulaangom City FC vs Khovd

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Javier C.
32' Event
Amarsanar
59' Event
Ulziisuren

AI Match Summary

Khovd in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Khovd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ulaangom City FC
6%
Draws
4%
Khovd
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ulaangom City FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Khovd have won more games recently than Ulaangom City FC.
  • Win probability leans Ulaangom City FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Khovd have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 88%
Over 4.5 Goals 40%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ulaangom City FC Clean Sheet 10%
Khovd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulaangom City FC Khovd
Matches Played 22 31
Wins 3 9
Draws 2 3
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 4.88 5.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.88 5.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Ulaangom City FC vs Khovd
3:3
May 21, 2026 Premier League
Ulaangom City FC vs Khovd
2:3
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League
Khovd vs Ulaangom City FC
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulaangom City FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Javier C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ochirvaan E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Khovd Compare

Top Goalscorer Amarsanar
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ulziisuren
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulaangom City FC 83 / 100
Khovd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulaangom City FC Khovd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ULA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Khovd conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.33 goals when they meet.

Ulaangom City FC scored in 64% of their last 22 games.

Ulaangom City FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulaangom City FC VS Khovd
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
4.88 Goals Conceded 5.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Ulaanbaatar16132165:941
2Central Stallions16123154:1439
3Khangarid16103359:1933
4Deren1693457:1630
5Hunters1673644:2724
6Khovd Western1653829:3618
7Khovd16401228:7312
8Khoromkhon16201427:866
9Ulaangom City FC16111416:994
10Falcons00000:00