Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulfstind vs Lillestrom 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ulfstind host Lillestrom 2 in the Division 3 - Group 5. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Ulfstind have averaged 1.66 scored and 3.38 conceded recently, against Lillestrom 2's 3.14 scored and 2.55 conceded. Head-to-head, Ulfstind have won 0 to Lillestrom 2's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 10:1. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 4.00, favoring Lillestrom 2. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ulfstind
15%
Draws
85%
Lillestrom 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillestrom 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lillestrom 2 come out ahead of Ulfstind on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lillestrom 2 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Ulfstind Clean Sheet 10%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulfstind Lillestrom 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 2 1
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.66 3.14
Goals Conceded 3.38 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Lillestrom 2 vs Ulfstind
10:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulfstind 10 / 100
Lillestrom 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulfstind Lillestrom 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom 2 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 11.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ulfstind scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Lillestrom 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulfstind VS Lillestrom 2
1.25 Goals Scored 3.25
4.88 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulfstind

(Home)
03 Oct
Ulfstind
0 : 2
Alta
26 Sept
Skedsmo
7 : 0
Ulfstind
19 Sept
Ulfstind
3 : 4
Bossekop
12 Sept
Harstad
6 : 1
Ulfstind
05 Sept
Ulfstind
1 : 6
Fauske Sprint
Page 1 of 6

Lillestrom 2

(Away)
04 Oct
Lillestrom 2
3 : 3
Stromsgodset 2
27 Sept
Alta
8 : 3
Lillestrom 2
20 Sept
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Fauske Sprint
14 Sept
Skedsmo
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
06 Sept
Lillestrom 2
11 : 0
Bossekop
Page 1 of 6