Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulikool Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn U21

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Taska M.
Own Goal
33' Event
Siim J.
41' Event
Roog A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-5, with Flora Tallinn U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Ulikool Tallinn
15%
Draws
31%
Flora Tallinn U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulikool Tallinn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Ulikool Tallinn haven't matched Flora Tallinn U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ulikool Tallinn a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Flora Tallinn U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Flora Tallinn U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Ulikool Tallinn Clean Sheet 18%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulikool Tallinn Flora Tallinn U21
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 0 6
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 4.11 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.22 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2015 Estonian Cup
Ulikool Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn U21
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulikool Tallinn Compare

Top Goalscorer Anniste A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taska M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Siim J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Roog A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulikool Tallinn 85 / 100
Flora Tallinn U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulikool Tallinn Flora Tallinn U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulikool Tallinn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulikool Tallinn scored in 89% of their last 9 games.

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Flora Tallinn U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Ulikool Tallinn went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Flora Tallinn U21
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulikool Tallinn

(Home)
29 Apr
Ulikool Tallinn
3 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
24 Sept
Ulikool Tallinn
4 : 3
Retro
19 Aug
Tabasalu
2 : 11
Ulikool Tallinn
16 Jul
Nomme Utd
2 : 9
Ulikool Tallinn
11 Jun
Lelle
1 : 5
Ulikool Tallinn
Page 1 of 2

Flora Tallinn U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 5
Santos Tartu 4
Rapla Lokomotiiv 0
Narva United 2
Rada Kuusalu 9
Tartu Ulikool 0
SK EPMU Tartu 2
Tammeka Tartu 5
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tapa -
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 5
Lootos FCR 2
Virtsu 1
Igiliikur 5
Retro 5
Tallinn Piraaja 1
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
Rapla -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
FC Tartu 4
Tabasalu 3
JK Jalgpallihaigla 2
Kadakas 0
Kaitseliit 2
Nomme Utd 10
Anija 0
Lelle 1
Ulikool Tallinn 5
FCI Tallinn II 7
Paidelona 0
TBD -
Elva -
Otepaa -
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles 0
Rakvere 3
Metropool Parnu 9
Haiba 0
Fellin 1
Raasiku Valla 2
Ulikool Tallinn II -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Ararat -
Kivioli Irbis -
TBD -
Loo JK 1
Saku Sporting 3
Reaal -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu 1
SK Taaksi 2
Keila JK 12
Somnium 1
TBD -
Puuma -
Tartu Tehased 4
Twister Tallinn 1
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora 7
Tulevik 0
TBD -
JK Visadus -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Kose -
Levadia -
TBD -
Aseri Askele 1
Tallinna Kalev II 6
Imavere Forss 6
Helios 1
Eston Villa 1
Saue JK Laagri 2
FCI Tallinn 16
JK Poseidon 0
Viimsi Ehitus 2
Raasiku Joker 8
Soccernet -
TBD -
Pirita 0
Voru 1
Tallinna Dnipro -
Vutihoolikud -
Shnelli 0
Maardu United 8
Viimsi MRJK 6
Jarva-Jaani 1
Narva 1
Sillamae Kalev 3
Johvi Phoenix -
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS -
Tartu Taara 0
Vandra Vaprus 8
IAFA Estonia -
TBD -
Raudne Rusikas 2
Tallinna Kalev III 3
Jogeva -
TBD -
TBD -
Lasnamae -
Navi Vutiselts -
TBD -
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
Tallinna Kalev 4
Maardu Linnameeskond 8
Tallinna Depoo 3
Olympic Tallinn 0
Viimsi JK 5
Torva JK 6
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Kohtla-Nomme 2
Ganvix Turi 11
Kuressaare 7
Vaatsa Vald 0
Oismae Torm 1
Merkuur Tartu 10
Ambla -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
1/32-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Narva United 1
Rada Kuusalu 1
Tammeka Tartu 4
Flora U19 4
Tapa 0
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 0
Igiliikur 2
Retro 9
Valga Warrior 2
Rapla 1
FC Tartu 8
Tabasalu 3
Kaitseliit 0
Nomme Utd 2
Ulikool Tallinn 9
FCI Tallinn II 3
Elva 2
Otepaa 0
Rakvere 2
Metropool Parnu 3
Raasiku Valla 1
Ulikool Tallinn II 0
FC Ararat 5
Kivioli Irbis 15
Saku Sporting 0
Reaal 2
SK Taaksi 4
Keila JK 2
Puuma 1
Tartu Tehased 0
Paide Linnameeskond 17
Flora 5
JK Visadus 0
Tartu JK Welco 0
Kose 1
Levadia 19
Tallinna Kalev II 0
Imavere Forss 1
Saue JK Laagri 3
FCI Tallinn 2
Raasiku Joker 0
Soccernet 2
Voru 5
Tallinna Dnipro 2
Maardu United 0
Viimsi MRJK 0
Sillamae Kalev 11
Johvi Phoenix 2
Vandra Vaprus 1
IAFA Estonia -
Tallinna Kalev III -
Jogeva -
Lasnamae -
Navi Vutiselts 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Viimsi JK 1
Torva JK 1
Ganvix Turi 4
Kuressaare 4
Merkuur Tartu 0
Ambla 0
Kalju 18
1/16-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Tammeka Tartu 1
Flora U19 2
Igiliikur 3
Retro 5
FC Tartu 2
Tabasalu 2
Ulikool Tallinn 11
FCI Tallinn II 2
Rakvere 1
Metropool Parnu 3
FC Ararat 4
Kivioli Irbis 7
SK Taaksi 3
Keila JK 0
Paide Linnameeskond 6
Flora 13
Kose 0
Levadia -
Saue JK Laagri -
FCI Tallinn 11
Voru 0
Tallinna Dnipro 0
Sillamae Kalev 13
Johvi Phoenix 3
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Jogeva 0
Tallinna Kalev 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Ganvix Turi 1
Kuressaare 0
Kalju 4
1/8-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 9
Igiliikur 0
Retro 3
Ulikool Tallinn 4
FCI Tallinn II 3
FC Ararat 0
Kivioli Irbis -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora 11
Saue JK Laagri 0
FCI Tallinn 0
Sillamae Kalev 1
Johvi Phoenix 3
Tallinna Kalev 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Kalju 4
Quarter-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 5
Ulikool Tallinn 3
FCI Tallinn II 0
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Flora 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Johvi Phoenix 3
Kalju 5
Semi-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Flora 1
Kalju 2
Final
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Kalju 2