Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet

Kenya Kenya

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Naibei T.

AI Match Summary

APS Bomet in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored APS Bomet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ulinzi Stars
20%
Draws
45%
APS Bomet
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: APS Bomet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ulinzi Stars have won more games recently than APS Bomet.
  • Win probability leans Ulinzi Stars's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ulinzi Stars Clean Sheet 68%
APS Bomet Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulinzi Stars APS Bomet
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.15 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.15 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Premier League
Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet
0:1
Nov 19, 2025 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Ulinzi Stars
0:1
Jan 14, 2023 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Ulinzi Stars
0:0
Sep 18, 2022 Premier League
Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulinzi Stars Compare

Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

APS Bomet Compare

Top Goalscorer Naibei T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulinzi Stars 51 / 100
APS Bomet 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulinzi Stars APS Bomet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulinzi Stars found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (26 games).

Solid form: Ulinzi Stars remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

APS Bomet's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ulinzi Stars VS APS Bomet
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulinzi Stars

(Home)
31 May
Posta Rangers
0 : 1
Ulinzi Stars
27 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 0
Tusker
23 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 1
Mathare United
13 May
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 2
Leopards
09 May
Shabana
0 : 0
Ulinzi Stars
Page 1 of 6

APS Bomet

(Away)
31 May
Tusker
1 : 1
APS Bomet
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1
Leopards
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2
APS Bomet
10 May
Mathare United
0 : 2
APS Bomet
06 May
APS Bomet
1 : 0
KCB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)