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Ulinzi Stars vs Muranga

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Sun, Jan 25, 2026
0 - 2
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Okoth P.
34' Event
Waithira J.
(Penalty)
90'
Hussein M.

AI Match Summary

Ulinzi Stars host Muranga in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Muranga have shipped 2.13 goals a game lately, while Ulinzi Stars have conceded 1 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Muranga slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.00) point toward Muranga. Muranga in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ulinzi Stars
39%
Draws
31%
Muranga
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Muranga have won more games recently than Ulinzi Stars.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Ulinzi Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Muranga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulinzi Stars Muranga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
Ulinzi Stars vs Muranga
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Muranga vs Ulinzi Stars
0:1
May 1, 2025 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Muranga vs Ulinzi Stars
3:2
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League
Muranga vs Ulinzi Stars
1:2
Aug 25, 2024 Premier League
Ulinzi Stars vs Muranga
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulinzi Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Okoth P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Muranga Compare

Top Goalscorer Waithira J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulinzi Stars 41 / 100
Muranga 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulinzi Stars Muranga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ULI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulinzi Stars's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Muranga conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Ulinzi Stars went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulinzi Stars VS Muranga
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mahia34209550:2269
2Leopards34197844:2864
3Police FC341316531:2155
4Nairobi United341411944:3453
5Shabana3414101035:3452
6Kakamega Homeboyz341213947:3749
7KCB341391236:3748
8Muranga341381342:4147
9Tusker341361527:3245
10APS Bomet3411111237:3544
11Mara Sugar3410141030:3044
12Bandari34917826:2644
13Ulinzi Stars341181534:3741
14Mathare United341181531:3541
15Posta Rangers349131231:4040
16Kariobangi Sharks348141230:3338
17Bidco United345121719:4027
18Sofapaka343102119:5119