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Ullern 2 vs Frigg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Nomell P.
36' Event
Nomell P.
58' Event
Gray S.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2023 game between Ullern 2 and Frigg finished 3-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Frigg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ullern 2
15%
Draws
59%
Frigg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Frigg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Frigg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Frigg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Ullern 2 Clean Sheet 13%
Frigg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ullern 2 Frigg
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 5 17
Draws 1 6
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 1.38 3.17
Goals Conceded 3.08 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Ullern 2 vs Frigg
3:6
May 15, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Frigg vs Ullern 2
9:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ullern 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ademaj D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evensen B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Frigg Compare

Top Goalscorer Nomell P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrer U.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ullern 2 10 / 100
Frigg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ullern 2 Frigg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frigg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Frigg conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 10.00 goals when they meet.

Ullern 2 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).

Recent resilience: Ullern 2 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Frigg
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ullern 2

(Home)
29 Oct
Stabaek 2
5 : 0
Ullern 2
22 Oct
Ullern 2
1 : 4
Skjetten
14 Oct
Skedsmo
8 : 0
Ullern 2
08 Oct
Ullern 2
4 : 0
Gneist IL
02 Oct
Lillestrom 2
4 : 0
Ullern 2
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Frigg

(Away)
12 Sept
Heming
5 : 1
Frigg
05 Sept
Frigg
5 : 2
Ready
22 Aug
Frigg
0 : 4
Kjelsas
15 Aug
Frigg
2 : 2
Lokomotiv Oslo
08 Aug
Nordstrand
2 : 3
Frigg
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