Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ullern 2 vs Lillestrom 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Stofring T.
18' Event
Ademaj D.
20' Event
Eriksen A.

AI Match Summary

Ullern 2 in this Division 3 - Group 1 2023 matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ullern 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ullern 2
15%
Draws
57%
Lillestrom 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillestrom 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lillestrom 2 lately — more wins on the board than Ullern 2.
  • Lillestrom 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Ullern 2 Clean Sheet 11%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ullern 2 Lillestrom 2
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 5 15
Draws 1 0
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.38 3.1
Goals Conceded 3.08 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Lillestrom 2 vs Ullern 2
4:0
May 28, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Ullern 2 vs Lillestrom 2
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ullern 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stofring T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ademaj D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Lillestrom 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Eriksen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mansrud K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ullern 2 10 / 100
Lillestrom 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ullern 2 Lillestrom 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom 2 let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Ullern 2's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Lillestrom 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lillestrom 2
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ullern 2

(Home)
29 Oct
Stabaek 2
5 : 0
Ullern 2
22 Oct
Ullern 2
1 : 4
Skjetten
14 Oct
Skedsmo
8 : 0
Ullern 2
08 Oct
Ullern 2
4 : 0
Gneist IL
02 Oct
Lillestrom 2
4 : 0
Ullern 2
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Lillestrom 2

(Away)
14 Sept
Skedsmo
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
06 Sept
Lillestrom 2
11 : 0
Bossekop
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
16 Aug
Lillestrom 2
3 : 4
Harstad
10 Aug
Skjetten
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
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