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Ullern vs Grei - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ullern host Grei in the Division 3 - Group 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Ullern at 1.86 goals for, 2.43 against; Grei at 2.1 for, 3.06 against. Past meetings favor Ullern slightly — 2-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (2.88 - 2.06) back Ullern to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ullern
15%
Draws
42%
Grei
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ullern

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Grei have won more games recently than Ullern.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • History favors Ullern here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Ullern Clean Sheet 10%
Grei Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ullern Grei
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.86 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.43 3.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Grei vs Ullern
3:2
Sep 7, 2019 Division 3 - Group 2
Grei vs Ullern
1:3
Jun 29, 2019 Division 3 - Group 2
Ullern vs Grei
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ullern 30 / 100
Grei 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ullern Grei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ullern scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Grei has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Difficult form: Grei registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ullern VS Grei
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ullern

(Home)
03 Oct
KFUM Oslo 2
1 : 3
Ullern
26 Sept
Heming
3 : 0
Ullern
19 Sept
Ullern
2 : 1
Valerenga 2
12 Sept
Ready
4 : 3
Ullern
05 Sept
Ullern
2 : 6
Asker
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Grei

(Away)
03 Oct
Grei
4 : 3
Asker
26 Sept
Ready
2 : 3
Grei
19 Sept
Grei
1 : 4
Heming
12 Sept
Konnerud
3 : 2
Grei
05 Sept
Grei
0 : 1
Union Carl Berner
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