Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Martin M.
8'
8'
Bradara T.
37'
37'
Wahling O.
AI Match Summary
The Regionalliga Sudwest game between Ulm and Freiberg finished 4-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
35%
53%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Freiberg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Freiberg come out ahead of Ulm on wins alone.
- Freiberg are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Ulm have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ulm Clean Sheet 10%
Freiberg Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ulm | Freiberg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.96 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Ulm vs Freiberg
4:4
Apr 18, 2023 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs Ulm
1:3
Sep 18, 2022 Regionalliga Sudwest
Ulm vs Freiberg
2:0
Jul 20, 2019 Club Friendly
Ulm vs Freiberg
8:1
Mar 19, 2016 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Freiberg vs Ulm
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ulm Compare
Top Goalscorer Wahling O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Meuer S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Freiberg Compare
Top Goalscorer Gouras M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Martin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ulm 22 / 100
Freiberg 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ulm Freiberg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Freiberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.
Ulm's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Freiberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Ulm remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ulm VS Freiberg
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ulm
(Home) 26 Sept
Ulm
0 : 1 Eintracht Trier
19 Sept
Sandhausen
2 : 2 Ulm
12 Sept
Ulm
1 : 2 FSV Frankfurt
08 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0 Ulm
04 Sept
Ulm
4 : 4 Freiberg
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Ulm
0 : 1 Eintracht Trier
12 Sept
Ulm
1 : 2 FSV Frankfurt
04 Sept
Ulm
4 : 4 Freiberg
22 Aug
Ulm
2 : 2 Fulda-Lehnerz
14 Aug
Ulm
0 : 2 Kickers Offenbach
Page 1 of 3
Freiberg
(Away) 26 Sept
Freiberg
2 : 2 Stutt. Kickers
19 Sept
Aalen
2 : 3 Freiberg
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0 Mainz II
08 Sept
Sandhausen
0 : 0 Freiberg
04 Sept
Ulm
4 : 4 Freiberg
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Aalen
2 : 3 Freiberg
08 Sept
Sandhausen
0 : 0 Freiberg
04 Sept
Ulm
4 : 4 Freiberg
22 Aug
VfR Mannheim
0 : 0 Freiberg
08 Aug
Kaiserslautern II
0 : 5 Freiberg
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freiberg | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 24:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Kickers Offenbach | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:11 | 19 |
| 3 | Stutt. Kickers | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 4 | Eintracht Trier | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Aalen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 6 | VfR Mannheim | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 7 | FC 08 Homburg | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 14 |
| 8 | Freiburg II | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:11 | 13 |
| 9 | FSV Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 12 |
| 10 | TSV Steinbach Haiger | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Sandhausen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:19 | 12 |
| 12 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 13 | Kassel | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Mainz II | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 15 | Kaiserslautern II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:17 | 8 |
| 16 | Astoria Walldorf | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:17 | 6 |
| 17 | Fulda-Lehnerz | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Ulm | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11:19 | 4 |
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
