Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulm vs TSV Havelse

Germany Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Donaustadion, Ulm
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Sub
Duker J. In: Muller R.
Out: Duker J.
57'
Pepic M.
63' Event
Chessa D.
Assist: Kolle N.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga 2025/2026 game between Ulm and TSV Havelse finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ulm
30%
Draws
47%
TSV Havelse
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TSV Havelse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ulm come out ahead of TSV Havelse on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ulm's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Ulm Clean Sheet 13%
TSV Havelse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulm TSV Havelse
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.54 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.96 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 3. Liga
Ulm vs TSV Havelse
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 3. Liga
TSV Havelse vs Ulm
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulm Compare

Top Goalscorer Chessa D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mazagg L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

TSV Havelse Compare

Top Goalscorer Schepp C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulm 35 / 100
TSV Havelse 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulm TSV Havelse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Havelse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 25 matches.

Ulm scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: TSV Havelse registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulm VS TSV Havelse
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulm

(Home)
26 Sept
Ulm
0 : 1
Eintracht Trier
19 Sept
Sandhausen
2 : 2
Ulm
12 Sept
Ulm
1 : 2
FSV Frankfurt
08 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0
Ulm
04 Sept
Ulm
4 : 4
Freiberg
Page 1 of 6

TSV Havelse

(Away)
25 Sept
TSV Havelse
1 : 3
Fortuna Koln
15 Sept
Duisburg
2 : 1
TSV Havelse
12 Sept
TSV Havelse
2 : 2
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
05 Sept
Preussen Munster
2 : 1
TSV Havelse
30 Aug
TSV Havelse
3 : 2
Mannheim
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfL Osnabruck 38 24 8 6 66:34 80
2 Energie Cottbus 38 21 9 8 72:51 72
3 RW Essen 38 20 10 8 78:66 70
4 Duisburg 38 19 11 8 66:49 68
5 Hansa Rostock 38 18 13 7 74:49 67
6 Verl 38 18 10 10 82:48 64
7 Alemannia Aachen 38 19 7 12 76:57 64
8 Munich 1860 38 15 11 12 54:53 56
9 Wehen 38 15 8 15 54:52 53
10 Mannheim 38 15 7 16 59:72 52
11 FC Viktoria Koln 38 15 6 17 51:53 51
12 Ingolstadt 38 13 10 15 65:56 49
13 Regensburg 38 14 7 17 54:58 49
14 VfB Stuttgart II 38 13 7 18 57:69 46
15 Saarbrucken 38 10 14 14 51:57 44
16 Hoffenheim II 38 12 7 19 65:71 43
17 TSV Havelse 38 9 8 21 57:89 35
18 Aue 38 7 13 18 51:70 34
19 Ulm 38 9 6 23 49:78 33
20 1. FC Schweinfurt 38 5 6 27 38:87 21
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)