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Stadium Background

Ulm vs VfR Mannheim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest Donaustadion, Ulm
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ulm host VfR Mannheim in the Regionalliga Sudwest. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Ulm at 1.52 goals for, 1.89 against; VfR Mannheim at 1.79 for, 1.04 against. Head-to-head, Ulm have won 4 to VfR Mannheim's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2015, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.75) point toward VfR Mannheim. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ulm
30%
Draws
50%
VfR Mannheim
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VfR Mannheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VfR Mannheim lately — more wins on the board than Ulm.
  • VfR Mannheim are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ulm have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ulm Clean Sheet 12%
VfR Mannheim Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulm VfR Mannheim
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.52 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2015 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Ulm vs VfR Mannheim
1:0
Oct 17, 2014 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
VfR Mannheim vs Ulm
0:1
Apr 1, 2012 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
VfR Mannheim vs Ulm
1:1
Sep 24, 2011 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Ulm vs VfR Mannheim
2:1
Apr 19, 2008 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Ulm vs VfR Mannheim
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulm 19 / 100
VfR Mannheim 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulm VfR Mannheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfR Mannheim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulm scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

VfR Mannheim has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Ulm remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulm VS VfR Mannheim
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulm

(Home)
25 Oct
Ulm
1 : 1
FC 08 Homburg
17 Oct
Mainz II
1 : 1
Ulm
10 Oct
Ulm
1 : 0
Eintracht Frankfurt II
03 Oct
Kassel
2 : 2
Ulm
26 Sept
Ulm
0 : 1
Eintracht Trier
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VfR Mannheim

(Away)
24 Oct
TSV Steinbach Haiger
0 : 2
VfR Mannheim
17 Oct
Kassel
0 : 3
VfR Mannheim
14 Oct
Eintracht Frankfurt II
0 : 1
VfR Mannheim
10 Oct
VfR Mannheim
2 : 0
Stutt. Kickers
26 Sept
VfR Mannheim
5 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Freiberg 13 7 6 0 32:13 27
2 Aalen 13 8 3 2 23:11 27
3 VfR Mannheim 13 7 5 1 22:9 26
4 Stutt. Kickers 13 7 2 4 22:18 23
5 Eintracht Trier 14 7 2 5 16:17 23
6 Kickers Offenbach 13 6 3 4 23:17 21
7 FC 08 Homburg 14 5 6 3 18:17 21
8 Freiburg II 13 5 5 3 24:18 20
9 Sandhausen 14 5 4 5 21:24 19
10 TSV Steinbach Haiger 14 4 5 5 22:22 17
11 Eintracht Frankfurt II 13 5 1 7 16:18 16
12 FSV Frankfurt 14 3 5 6 22:25 14
13 Kassel 13 4 2 7 21:28 14
14 Mainz II 14 4 2 8 15:27 14
15 Astoria Walldorf 13 3 4 6 20:22 13
16 Kaiserslautern II 13 2 5 6 14:27 11
17 Ulm 13 1 7 5 16:23 10
18 Fulda-Lehnerz 13 2 3 8 17:28 9
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)