Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulsan Citizen vs Busan Kyotong

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Ulsan Complex Stadium, Ulsan
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
78' Event
88' Event

AI Match Summary

Ulsan Citizen in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ulsan Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ulsan Citizen
15%
Draws
37%
Busan Kyotong
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulsan Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Busan Kyotong have won more games recently than Ulsan Citizen.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ulsan Citizen taking it.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Busan Kyotong have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 16%
Busan Kyotong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Citizen Busan Kyotong
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Busan Kyotong
2:1
Aug 14, 2026 K3-K4 League Cup
Busan Kyotong vs Ulsan Citizen
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Ulsan Citizen
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Busan Kyotong
0:1
May 18, 2025 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Ulsan Citizen
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Citizen 36 / 100
Busan Kyotong 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Citizen Busan Kyotong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulsan Citizen found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Busan Kyotong's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Ulsan Citizen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Citizen VS Busan Kyotong
1.25 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulsan Citizen

(Home)
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Gyeongju KHNP
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
23 Aug
Jeonbuk 2
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
19 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
0 : 1
Gwangju FC
Page 1 of 6

Busan Kyotong

(Away)
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3
Busan Kyotong
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1
Busan Kyotong
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3
Changwon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 22 8 8 6 32:29 32
6 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
7 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 22 6 8 8 24:27 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)