Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulsan Citizen vs Daejeon Korail

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Ulsan Complex Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Hwang Joon-Seok

AI Match Summary

Daejeon Korail in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Daejeon Korail.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ulsan Citizen
17%
Draws
13%
Daejeon Korail
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ulsan Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Daejeon Korail has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ulsan Citizen.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Ulsan Citizen.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in K3 League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 68%
Daejeon Korail Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Citizen Daejeon Korail
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
0:1
Jul 5, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen
3:0
Sep 28, 2024 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
1:1
May 31, 2024 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Daejeon Korail Compare

Top Goalscorer Hwang Joon-Seok
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Citizen 77 / 100
Daejeon Korail 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Citizen Daejeon Korail

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ULS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulsan Citizen scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Daejeon Korail let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ulsan Citizen went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Daejeon Korail lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Citizen VS Daejeon Korail
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Changwon1767418:1625
6Dangjin Citizen1764727:2622
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 217161019:409