Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulsan Citizen vs Dangjin Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Ulsan Complex Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Kim D.
41' Event
Kim Ju-Hyeong
90' Event
Han-sae L.

AI Match Summary

Dangjin Citizen in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dangjin Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ulsan Citizen
40%
Draws
29%
Dangjin Citizen
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Dangjin Citizen at 2 per game, Ulsan Citizen at 1.13.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 16%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Citizen Dangjin Citizen
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Dangjin Citizen
1:2
Jun 25, 2022 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
0:3
Mar 13, 2022 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Dangjin Citizen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Han-sae L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dangjin Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Ju-Hyeong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Citizen 31 / 100
Dangjin Citizen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Citizen Dangjin Citizen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Ulsan Citizen remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Dangjin Citizen let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ulsan Citizen scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Citizen VS Dangjin Citizen
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429