Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulsan Citizen vs Dangjin Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Ulsan Complex Stadium, Ulsan
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Kim D.
41' Event
Kim Ju-Hyeong
90' Event
Han-sae L.

AI Match Summary

Dangjin Citizen in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dangjin Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ulsan Citizen
39%
Draws
31%
Dangjin Citizen
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dangjin Citizen lately — more wins on the board than Ulsan Citizen.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 68%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Citizen Dangjin Citizen
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Dangjin Citizen
1:2
Jun 25, 2022 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
0:3
Mar 13, 2022 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Dangjin Citizen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Han-sae L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Dangjin Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Ju-Hyeong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Citizen 41 / 100
Dangjin Citizen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Citizen Dangjin Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ULS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Ulsan Citizen remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Dangjin Citizen let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ulsan Citizen scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Citizen VS Dangjin Citizen
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulsan Citizen

(Home)
15 Jul
Ulsan Citizen
4 : 2
Seoul E-Land
10 Jul
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
04 Jul
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Chuncheon
27 Jun
Ulsan Citizen
4 : 1
Mokpo
20 Jun
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
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Dangjin Citizen

(Away)
18 Jul
Dangjin Citizen
2 : 0
Jeonbuk 2
15 Jul
Yongin FC
0 : 2
Dangjin Citizen
11 Jul
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 1
Pocheon
04 Jul
Haman
0 : 2
Dangjin Citizen
28 Jun
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 2
Gangneung
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)