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Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Ulsan Complex Stadium, Ulsan
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Match Events

45' Event
60' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

Siheung Citizen in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siheung Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ulsan Citizen
15%
Draws
53%
Siheung Citizen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siheung Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Siheung Citizen have won more games recently than Ulsan Citizen.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Siheung Citizen taking it.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Siheung Citizen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 17%
Siheung Citizen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Citizen Siheung Citizen
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 13 20
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.06 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen
1:2
Jun 13, 2026 K3-K4 League Cup
Siheung Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
0:1
May 9, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen
0:1
Sep 26, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen
0:1
May 31, 2025 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Citizen 20 / 100
Siheung Citizen 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Citizen Siheung Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siheung Citizen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulsan Citizen's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Siheung Citizen conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ulsan Citizen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Citizen VS Siheung Citizen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulsan Citizen

(Home)
03 Oct
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Siheung Citizen
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Gyeongju KHNP
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
23 Aug
Jeonbuk 2
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
Page 1 of 7

Siheung Citizen

(Away)
03 Oct
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Siheung Citizen
13 Sept
Siheung Citizen
3 : 1
Changwon
06 Sept
Yangpyeong
1 : 3
Siheung Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 23 13 7 3 38:19 46
3 Daejeon Korail 23 12 5 6 33:18 41
4 Busan Kyotong 23 10 7 6 40:29 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 23 9 4 10 46:39 31
7 Chuncheon 23 8 6 9 39:35 30
8 Changwon 23 7 8 8 26:28 29
9 Ulsan Citizen 23 8 4 11 24:26 28
10 Yeoju Citizen 23 7 7 9 26:29 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 23 3 8 12 28:45 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 23 1 7 15 23:51 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)