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Stadium Background

Ulsan Hyundai vs Daejeon

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ludwigson G.
Assist: Ishida M.
29'
Kang Sang-Woo
36'
Lee Dong-Gyeong

AI Match Summary

Daejeon in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Daejeon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ulsan Hyundai
39%
Draws
31%
Daejeon
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ulsan Hyundai lately — more wins on the board than Daejeon.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Ulsan Hyundai Clean Sheet 68%
Daejeon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Hyundai Daejeon
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 K League 1
Daejeon vs Ulsan Hyundai
2:2
Apr 26, 2026 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Daejeon
1:4
Jul 23, 2025 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Daejeon
1:2
Apr 1, 2025 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Daejeon
2:3
Feb 23, 2025 K League 1
Daejeon vs Ulsan Hyundai
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Hyundai Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Dong-Gyeong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Daejeon Compare

Top Goalscorer Ludwigson G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jeong Jae-Hee
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Hyundai 41 / 100
Daejeon 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Hyundai Daejeon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ULS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Ulsan Hyundai scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Daejeon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Ulsan Hyundai went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Hyundai VS Daejeon
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulsan Hyundai

(Home)
29 Jul
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 0
Ulsan Hyundai
26 Jul
Seoul
1 : 3
Ulsan Hyundai
21 Jul
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 2
Incheon
18 Jul
Daejeon
2 : 2
Ulsan Hyundai
11 Jul
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 3
Jeonbuk
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Daejeon

(Away)
25 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
3 : 2
Daejeon
21 Jul
Jeonbuk
0 : 0
Daejeon
18 Jul
Daejeon
2 : 2
Ulsan Hyundai
12 Jul
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Daejeon
04 Jul
Daejeon
2 : 2
Bucheon FC 1995
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul21134435:1743
2Jeonbuk2197527:1634
3Gangwon2188525:1732
4Ulsan Hyundai2094730:2931
5Anyang2079428:2330
6Incheon2084825:2128
7Pohang2184920:2228
8Jeju SK2076719:2027
9Gimcheon Sangmu21411622:2823
10Bucheon FC 19952158821:2523
11Daejeon2048823:2320
12Gwangju FC20171211:4510
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)