Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulsan Hyundai vs Gangwon

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kim Young-Gwon
Assist: Lee Dong-Gyeong
35' Event
Sekidika J.
Assist: Lee You-Hyeon
43' Event
Kim Young-Gwon
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Ulsan Hyundai and Gangwon finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gangwon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ulsan Hyundai
35%
Draws
19%
Gangwon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ulsan Hyundai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ulsan Hyundai carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ulsan Hyundai's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ulsan Hyundai Clean Sheet 20%
Gangwon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Hyundai Gangwon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 11
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Gangwon
2:3
May 17, 2026 K League 1
Gangwon vs Ulsan Hyundai
2:0
Feb 28, 2026 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Gangwon
3:1
Jul 27, 2025 K League 1
Gangwon vs Ulsan Hyundai
2:2
May 17, 2025 K League 1
Gangwon vs Ulsan Hyundai
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Hyundai Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Young-Gwon
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jung Seung-Hyun
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gangwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Sekidika J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Dong-Hyun
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Hyundai 42 / 100
Gangwon 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Hyundai Gangwon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Ulsan Hyundai scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Ulsan Hyundai went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gangwon let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Hyundai VS Gangwon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulsan Hyundai

(Home)
19 Sept
Anyang
2 : 1
Ulsan Hyundai
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1
Incheon
08 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 0
Seoul
05 Sept
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Ulsan Hyundai
29 Aug
Ulsan Hyundai
3 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
Page 1 of 6

Gangwon

(Away)
27 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 0
Incheon
20 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 1
Jeju SK
17 Sept
Kitchee
0 : 0
Gangwon
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gangwon
09 Sept
Gangwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 30 10 13 7 36:28 43
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Incheon 30 10 9 11 36:33 39
9 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)