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Ultramarina vs Academico 83 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Nacional 2019
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2019 game between Ultramarina and Academico 83 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ultramarina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ultramarina
35%
Draws
32%
Academico 83
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Academico 83 haven't matched Ultramarina's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ultramarina Clean Sheet 17%
Academico 83 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ultramarina Academico 83
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.15 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Academico 83 vs Ultramarina
2:4
Apr 13, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs Academico 83
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ultramarina 36 / 100
Academico 83 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ultramarina Academico 83

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academico 83 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academico 83 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Ultramarina's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Difficult form: Academico 83 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ultramarina VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ultramarina

(Home)
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0
Sanjoanenses
18 May
Boavista da Praia
3 : 0
Ultramarina
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1
Academica Praia
02 May
Palmeira
3 : 0
Ultramarina
26 Apr
Mindelense
2 : 1
Ultramarina
Page 1 of 7

Academico 83

(Away)
12 May
Academico 83
2 : 4
Ultramarina
04 May
Sporting da Brava
3 : 2
Academico 83
27 Apr
Academico 83
1 : 1
Santo Crucifixo
20 Apr
Santo Crucifixo
0 : 0
Academico 83
13 Apr
Ultramarina
3 : 1
Academico 83
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Academica Praia 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
3 Academica Porto Novo 6 1 4 1 7:9 7
4 Academica do Fogo 6 0 4 2 3:5 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ultramarina 6 3 2 1 13:9 11
2 Santo Crucifixo 6 2 2 2 7:5 8
3 Sporting da Brava 6 2 2 2 9:12 8
4 Academico 83 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oasis 6 3 2 1 7:8 11
2 Onze Estrelas 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
3 Celtic 6 2 3 1 6:1 9
4 GD Varandinha 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams