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Ultramarina vs Botafogo

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Pulume

AI Match Summary

Ultramarina in this Campeonato Nacional 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ultramarina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ultramarina
30%
Draws
23%
Botafogo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ultramarina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ultramarina have won more games recently than Botafogo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ultramarina Clean Sheet 20%
Botafogo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ultramarina Botafogo
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 7 3
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.06 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs Botafogo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ultramarina Compare

Top Goalscorer Pulume
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Botafogo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ultramarina 31 / 100
Botafogo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ultramarina Botafogo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ultramarina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ultramarina scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Botafogo has conceded goals in 74% of their last 19 outings.

Botafogo's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ultramarina VS Botafogo
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ultramarina

(Home)
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0
Sanjoanenses
18 May
Boavista da Praia
3 : 0
Ultramarina
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1
Academica Praia
02 May
Palmeira
3 : 0
Ultramarina
26 Apr
Mindelense
2 : 1
Ultramarina
Page 1 of 7

Botafogo

(Away)
24 May
Botafogo
0 : 1
Paulense
18 May
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0
Botafogo
11 May
Botafogo
0 : 3
Boavista da Praia
03 May
Academica Praia
1 : 0
Botafogo
26 Apr
Botafogo
1 : 2
Palmeira
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boavista da Praia 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
2 Palmeira 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
3 Sanjoanenses 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
4 Paulense 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
5 Mindelense 6 2 4 0 12:8 10
6 Academica Praia 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
7 Sport Sal-Rei 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
8 Ultramarina 6 1 2 3 3:9 5
9 Scorpion Vermelho 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
10 Botafogo 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2025 (Play Offs)