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Ultramarina vs Rosariense

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2022 game between Ultramarina and Rosariense finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rosariense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Ultramarina
35%
Draws
52%
Rosariense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rosariense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Rosariense's 1.28 goals per match outpaces what Ultramarina have produced (1.07).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ultramarina Clean Sheet 17%
Rosariense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ultramarina Rosariense
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Rosariense vs Ultramarina
1:0
May 28, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs Rosariense
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ultramarina 31 / 100
Rosariense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ultramarina Rosariense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosariense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ultramarina scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Rosariense let in goals in 72% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ultramarina has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ultramarina VS Rosariense
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ultramarina

(Home)
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0
Sanjoanenses
18 May
Boavista da Praia
3 : 0
Ultramarina
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1
Academica Praia
02 May
Palmeira
3 : 0
Ultramarina
26 Apr
Mindelense
2 : 1
Ultramarina
Page 1 of 6

Rosariense

(Away)
15 Jun
Rosariense
1 : 0
Academico do Sal
09 Jun
Academica do Fogo
3 : 1
Rosariense
26 May
Rosariense
1 : 1
Juventude
18 May
Juventude
1 : 2
Rosariense
12 May
Rosariense
0 : 0
Academica do Fogo
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rosariense 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Sporting Praia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 GD Varandinha 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
4 Ultramarina 6 1 0 5 3:11 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
2 Academica Boavista 6 2 2 2 2:5 8
3 Morabeza 6 1 3 2 5:4 6
4 Academica Porto Novo 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica do Mindelo 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
2 Botafogo 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
3 Mindelense 6 2 1 3 3:6 7
4 Barreirense 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams